Besiktas Istanbul — Crystal Palace: Win probabilities, 22.10.2026

Besiktas Istanbul head into their UEFA Europa League meeting with Crystal Palace with a slight edge, supported by a stronger recent record and the advantage of playing at home. They have won three of their last five matches, scoring nine goals and conceding seven. That return suggests a side capable of creating attacking opportunities, although their two defeats in the same period indicate that consistency remains a concern. Their recent results point towards an open contest rather than a match in which either team can comfortably control the outcome.

Crystal Palace have also recorded two defeats in their last five matches, alongside two wins and a draw. They have scored eight goals but conceded eleven, a defensive record that could give Besiktas Istanbul opportunities to exploit, particularly if the hosts maintain an aggressive approach. However, Crystal Palace have demonstrated enough attacking productivity to remain a threat, and their scoring record suggests they should not be discounted.

The overall balance favours Besiktas Istanbul, but only moderately. Both teams have shown an ability to score while also allowing opponents opportunities, making goals at both ends a plausible scenario. Crystal Palace have sufficient attacking potential to challenge the hosts, so Besiktas Istanbul may need to be efficient in front of goal to turn their home advantage into a positive result.