Sabah Masazir — Borussia Dortmund: Win probabilities, 20.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 23.7% |
| 12 | 86.2% | |
| X2 | 90.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.8% / 46.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.5% / 2.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.8% / 13.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.1% / 84.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.10.2026
Sabah Masazir
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 13.10.2026 home Slavia Prague 2:0
- 10.09.2026 away Manchester United 0:4
- 11.08.2026 home AGF Aarhus 4:0
- 28.07.2026 away Kuopion Palloseura 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Union Berlin 0:0
- 09.10.2026 home Werder Bremen 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Stuttgart 1:0
- 12.09.2026 home Paderborn 3:0
- 05.09.2026 away Hoffenheim 3:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sabah Masazir face a difficult test against Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League, with the visitors holding a clear advantage on recent form. Sabah Masazir have won three of their last four matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4. That record suggests the hosts have been effective going forward while maintaining a reasonably solid defensive structure. However, Borussia Dortmund arrive with an equally strong winning record and greater consistency, having avoided defeat in their last five matches.
Borussia Dortmund have recorded three wins and two draws across those five games, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4. Their ability to combine regular scoring with defensive stability gives them a strong foundation for this encounter. While Sabah Masazir have demonstrated that they can produce positive results, Borussia Dortmund appear better positioned to control the match and create the more decisive attacking moments. The contrast in recent results points towards a clear advantage for the visitors, although the hosts' scoring record suggests they should not be dismissed entirely.
A relatively open contest is a reasonable expectation, with Borussia Dortmund likely to carry the greater attacking threat. A 0-2 or 1-2 scoreline would reflect the visitors' stronger overall position, while a 0-3 result is also consistent with the expected balance of the match.
What matters before kick-off
Karetsas sidelined with ligament injury
Borussia Dortmund midfielder Konstantinos Karetsas suffered a foot ligament injury and was ruled out for the Champions League match against Sabah.
First official head-to-head meeting
The matchday 3 fixture in the Champions League marks the first-ever competitive head-to-head meeting between Sabah and Borussia Dortmund.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
