SSC Napoli — Bodoe/Glimt: Win probabilities, 20.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.9% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.8% / 37.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.1% / 35.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.1% / 57.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.8% / 76.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Venezia 0:1
- 10.10.2026 home Frosinone 3:0
- 20.09.2026 away Fiorentina 1:1
- 13.09.2026 home Bologna 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away Inter 2:3
Bodoe/Glimt
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 14.10.2026 home Borussia Dortmund 1:0
- 10.09.2026 away Bayern Munich 0:5
- 11.08.2026 home Union Saint-Gilloise 3:2
- 04.08.2026 away Union Saint-Gilloise 3:3
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.62 → now 1.73 |
| X | was 4.20 → now 4.00 |
| W2 | was 5.00 → now 4.33 |
Match preview
SSC Napoli enter this UEFA Champions League meeting with a slight edge, although the overall balance suggests a competitive contest. Their recent sequence of L W D W L has produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. That record points to a side capable of creating chances but not consistently controlling every match, making the home advantage an important part of the overall picture.
Bodoe/Glimt have also shown a mixed but productive recent run, winning 2 of their last 4 matches alongside 1 draw and 1 loss. They have scored 7 goals in that span, but conceding 10 highlights a defensive vulnerability that could be significant against SSC Napoli. The visitors therefore bring attacking threat, while their recent defensive record leaves room for SSC Napoli to exploit. Overall, the teams are reasonably well matched in recent results, but there is a moderate slight edge for the hosts. A high-scoring game looks plausible, with both sides carrying enough attacking form to contribute to the contest.
What matters before kick-off
Napoli squad list for Bodoe/Glimt match
Massimiliano Allegri named a 20-player Napoli squad for the Champions League match against Bodoe/Glimt. Alessandro Buongiorno, Costantino Favasuli, Antonio Vergara, David Neres, and Alisson Santos remain unavailable due to injuries.
Record Champions League performance for Bodoe/Glimt
Bodoe/Glimt's matchday two victory over Borussia Dortmund was their sixth Champions League win in 2026. This set a record for the most victories by a Norwegian team in a single calendar year in European Cup/UCL history.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.