AS Roma — SK Slovan Bratislava: Win probabilities, 20.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 97.4% |
| 12 | 93.1% | |
| X2 | 9.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.0% / 56.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.5% / 1.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 79.9% / 20.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 42.3% / 57.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Genoa 2:0
- 11.10.2026 away Como 0:0
- 19.09.2026 home Inter 2:2
- 14.09.2026 away Torino 2:0
- 05.09.2026 home Atalanta 2:1
SK Slovan Bratislava
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.10.2026 home VfB Stuttgart 0:3
- 09.09.2026 away Paris Saint-Germain 1:6
- 11.08.2026 home Mjallby AIF 2:0
- 04.08.2026 away Mjallby AIF 2:1
- 29.07.2026 home FC Iberia 1999 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.14 → now 1.09 |
| X | was 8.50 → now 10.00 |
| W2 | was 15.00 → now 23.00 |
Match preview
AS Roma enter this UEFA Champions League meeting with SK Slovan Bratislava as the clearly stronger side, supported by a more consistent recent record and a better defensive balance. The hosts have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding only three. That combination points to a team capable of controlling the game while limiting the opposition's opportunities. Their unbeaten run provides a solid foundation, particularly against visitors whose recent performances have been less reliable.
SK Slovan Bratislava have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches. Although six goals scored show that they can contribute in attack, eleven conceded highlight a defensive vulnerability that AS Roma may be able to exploit. The contrast between the teams is particularly clear at the back, where the hosts have been considerably more secure. If AS Roma establish control early, their attacking quality and defensive stability could make it difficult for SK Slovan Bratislava to recover. The overall expectation is a relatively open match with opportunities for the home side to create several scoring chances. AS Roma have a clear advantage entering the contest, while the visitors will need a more disciplined defensive performance than their recent record suggests to keep the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Roma Team News
AS Roma enter the match without injured trio Paulo Dybala, Manu Koné, and Bryan Cristante.
Head-to-head history
The only previous meetings between AS Roma and SK Slovan Bratislava took place in the 2011/12 Europa League play-offs, where Slovan won 2-1 on aggregate.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
