AS Roma — Cagliari Calcio: Win probabilities, 27.10.2026

AS Roma enter this Serie A fixture against Cagliari Calcio with a clear advantage, supported by their strong home record and greater consistency in recent matches. Unbeaten in their last five games, AS Roma have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring nine goals and conceding five. Their league position also reflects a solid start, with third place and 18 points after eight matches. At home, they have been particularly effective, winning three of four games and scoring 10 goals while conceding only three. Their ability to create clearly more chances than they allow gives them a strong foundation for this contest.

Cagliari Calcio arrive in less convincing form, having lost two of their last five matches and conceded eight goals while scoring four. Although they sit eighth with 13 points, their recent defensive record raises questions about their ability to contain a productive opponent. Their away results are more encouraging, with three wins from four matches, but they have scored only four goals on the road. The head-to-head record also favours AS Roma, who have won four of the last six meetings, including a 2-0 victory in 2026. Overall, AS Roma are clearly stronger, with a moderate level of confidence in their advantage. A controlled home performance and a relatively measured scoring total look plausible, although Cagliari Calcio could still make the contest competitive.