Parma Calcio — Udinese Calcio: Win probabilities, 28.10.2026

Parma Calcio face Udinese Calcio in a Serie A contest between two struggling sides, with neither team arriving in convincing form. Parma Calcio have lost four of their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding eleven. They sit 19th after eight games, with four points, and their home record offers limited reassurance: one win, one draw and two defeats in four matches. Although their chance creation at home has been broadly balanced with the opportunities they allow, defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern.

Udinese Calcio have also endured a difficult run, losing their last five matches while scoring five goals and conceding thirteen. They occupy 16th place with four points from seven games, but their away performances suggest they can still threaten going forward. They have scored seven goals in three away fixtures, despite conceding nine, although their tendency to allow more chances than they create could leave them exposed against Parma Calcio. The recent head-to-head record favours Udinese Calcio, who have won four of the last six meetings, but Parma Calcio claimed a 1-0 victory in their most recent encounter in 2026.

Overall, the teams appear evenly matched despite their contrasting league positions. Parma Calcio have home advantage, while Udinese Calcio have shown greater attacking output away from home. A competitive, moderately scoring encounter looks plausible, with a draw a credible outcome.