Venezia FC — Inter Milano: Win probabilities, 28.10.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 28.1% |
| 12 | 82.0% | |
| X2 | 89.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.3% / 3.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.8% / 9.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.2% / 26.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.4% / 66.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.5% / 81.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 28.10.2026
Venezia FC
20th place · 3 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Genoa 0:1
- 17.10.2026 home Napoli 1:0
- 12.10.2026 away Atalanta 1:3
- 19.09.2026 home Lazio 0:2
- 11.09.2026 home Fiorentina 2:4
Inter Milano
2nd place · 22 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Fiorentina 2:1
- 17.10.2026 away Bologna 3:1
- 10.10.2026 home Parma 3:0
- 19.09.2026 away Roma 2:2
- 14.09.2026 home Udinese 5:3
This season: Venezia FC at home vs Inter Milano away
| Metric | Venezia FC · at home | Inter Milano · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–3 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.35 | 3.15 |
| xG against per match | 2.49 | 1.05 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 4.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 12.01.2025 Venezia FC 0:1 Inter Milano
- 03.11.2024 Inter Milano 1:0 Venezia FC
- 22.01.2022 Inter Milano 2:1 Venezia FC
- 27.11.2021 Venezia FC 0:2 Inter Milano
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Venezia FC face a difficult challenge against Inter Milano, whose recent form and overall performance point to a clear advantage for the visitors. Venezia FC have lost four of their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding twelve during that run. They also sit 20th in Serie A with three points from seven games, highlighting the scale of their early-season difficulties. At home, they have won just one of four matches, conceding eight goals and scoring only three.
Inter Milano arrive in considerably stronger form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They have scored sixteen goals across those games, demonstrating an effective attack, although conceding eight suggests there may be opportunities for Venezia FC to threaten. Inter Milano are second in the table with nineteen points, and their away record is also encouraging: two wins and one draw from three matches, with six goals scored and three conceded.
The recent head-to-head record further favours Inter Milano, who have won all four of the last four meetings, including a 1-0 victory in 2025. Given the contrast in form, league position and chance creation, Inter Milano have a clear edge. A relatively open match is plausible, with Venezia FC potentially finding opportunities while Inter Milano look well placed to control the contest and create the better chances.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head Serie A milestone
The Matchday 9 encounter in the 2026/27 season marks the first time Venezia and Inter face each other in Serie A on a day other than Saturday or Sunday. Inter have also won each of their last four Serie A fixtures against Venezia.
Recent team results
Inter enter the fixture top of the Serie A table with 22 points from eight games following a 2-1 win over Fiorentina. Venezia head into the match coming off a 1-0 defeat to Genoa.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.