Torino FC — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 27.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 42.8% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 82.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.1% / 15.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.2% / 61.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.7% / 79.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 27.10.2026
Torino FC
8th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 home Monza 3:2
- 19.10.2026 away Parma 3:0
- 12.10.2026 home Udinese 2:1
- 19.09.2026 away Bologna 1:1
- 14.09.2026 home Roma 0:2
Como 1907
5th place · 17 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Sassuolo 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Fiorentina 3:1
- 11.10.2026 home Roma 0:0
- 20.09.2026 away Frosinone 0:2
- 14.09.2026 home Parma 2:1
This season: Torino FC at home vs Como 1907 away
| Metric | Torino FC · at home | Como 1907 · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–2 | 3–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 1.20 |
| xG for per match | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| xG against per match | 1.34 | 1.71 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.75 | 7.40 |
| Corners per match | 2.50 | 6.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 24.01.2026 Como 1907 6:0 Torino FC
- 24.11.2025 Torino FC 1:5 Como 1907
- 13.04.2025 Como 1907 1:0 Torino FC
- 25.10.2024 Torino FC 1:0 Como 1907
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Torino FC come into this Serie A meeting in solid recent form, with three wins, one draw and one loss across their last five matches. They have scored 9 goals in that run, although their home record has been less consistent, with two wins and two losses from four matches. Their overall position is seventh with 13 points from eight games, suggesting a competitive side but one that has not been fully reliable at home.
Como 1907 arrive higher in the table, sitting fourth with 17 points, and their recent record is similarly strong at three wins, one draw and one loss. Their away record stands out more clearly: three wins, one draw and one loss from five matches, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. The recent head-to-head record also favors Como 1907, who have won three of the four meetings, including a 6-0 victory in the latest encounter. The overall read gives Como 1907 a slight edge, but confidence remains low. With both teams showing attacking output and neither having a clear chance-quality advantage in their respective home or away setting, a competitive, relatively open match is plausible.
What matters before kick-off
Teams' recent form
Both Torino and Como 1907 enter Matchday 9 of Serie A on the back of three consecutive victories across all competitions.
Como 1907 squad absences
Ahead of the away fixture against Torino, Como 1907 head coach Cesc Fabregas will be without Moise Kean and Mattia Liberali.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.