Genoa CFC — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 28.10.2026

Genoa CFC face Juventus Turin in Serie A with a slight edge for the visitors, although the overall balance suggests a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch. The league standings highlight the difference between the sides: Genoa CFC sit 16th with 7 points from 8 matches, while Juventus Turin are seventh with 14 points from the same number of games. Recent form is less decisive, as both teams have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches. However, Juventus Turin have shown greater attacking productivity in that period, scoring 7 goals compared with Genoa CFC’s 5.

The away side’s record on the road offers another reason to lean towards Juventus Turin. They have won two of their four away matches, drawing one and losing one, while scoring 6 goals and conceding 4. Their ability to create clearly more chances than they allow is a positive indicator against a Genoa CFC side whose home performances have been less secure, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded across five matches. The hosts’ chances created and allowed have been roughly level, suggesting limited control over the balance of play.

The recent head-to-head record also favours Juventus Turin, who have won four of the last six meetings, with the other two ending in draws. Their 2-0 victory in the latest encounter reinforces that advantage. A relatively measured game is plausible, with Juventus Turin better positioned to edge the contest, though Genoa CFC have enough recent resilience to make a draw a credible alternative.