New York Red Bulls — Inter Miami CF: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

New York Red Bulls face a challenging test against Inter Miami CF in MLS, with the visitors holding a slight edge based on their recent form and stronger away record. New York Red Bulls have lost three of their last five matches, winning twice and conceding eight goals while scoring six. Their home performances have also been inconsistent, with five wins and seven defeats across fifteen matches, alongside twenty-nine goals conceded. That defensive record could be a concern against an opponent that has shown greater attacking efficiency in recent weeks.

Inter Miami CF arrive in better form, having won three of their last five matches, scored twelve goals and conceded just five. Their away record is particularly encouraging, with nine wins from fifteen matches, supported by thirty-two goals scored on the road. These figures suggest that Inter Miami CF have the attacking quality and consistency to create significant problems for the hosts, although their own defensive record away from home leaves room for New York Red Bulls to find opportunities.

The recent head-to-head history also points toward an open contest. Both teams scored in four of their six meetings, while five produced more than two goals. Their latest encounter ended in a 2-2 draw, reinforcing the possibility of another competitive, high-scoring match. Inter Miami CF have the stronger overall case, but New York Red Bulls could still contribute to an entertaining contest.