DC United — FC Cincinnati: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 57.3% |
| 12 | 76.7% | |
| X2 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 74.1% / 25.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 74.1% / 25.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 34.5% / 65.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 away FC Cincinnati 1:2
- 18.10.2026 away Orlando City 1:4
- 15.10.2026 home New York Red Bulls 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Inter Miami 0:4
- 27.09.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 3:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home DC United 2:1
- 18.10.2026 home Columbus Crew 0:2
- 15.10.2026 home New England Revolution 2:3
- 11.10.2026 away Atlanta Utd 3:1
- 27.09.2026 away CF Montreal 1:3
This season: DC United at home vs FC Cincinnati away
| Metric | DC United · at home | FC Cincinnati · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 5–5–5 | 2–6–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.73 | 2.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.10.2026 FC Cincinnati 2:1 DC United
- 01.06.2025 FC Cincinnati 1:2 DC United
- 13.04.2025 DC United 0:1 FC Cincinnati
- 04.07.2024 DC United 2:3 FC Cincinnati
- 10.03.2024 FC Cincinnati 0:0 DC United
- 25.06.2023 DC United 3:0 FC Cincinnati
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
DC United face FC Cincinnati in an MLS encounter that looks evenly matched, with both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities that could contribute to an open contest. DC United have won just one of their last five matches, drawing once and losing three times. During that run, they scored seven goals but conceded 14, highlighting the difficulty they have had containing opponents. Their home record this season has been more balanced, with five wins, five draws and five defeats from 15 matches, although conceding 26 goals at home remains a concern.
FC Cincinnati have also been inconsistent, recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches. They have scored eight goals and conceded 10 across those games, suggesting that their recent performances have offered attacking opportunities without consistent defensive control. Their away record is particularly notable: two wins, six draws and seven defeats in 15 matches, with 24 goals scored and 41 conceded. That combination points towards a side capable of finding the net but vulnerable when playing away.
The head-to-head record gives FC Cincinnati a slight historical advantage, with three wins from six meetings compared with two for DC United. Their most recent meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for FC Cincinnati. Both teams have reasons to expect scoring opportunities, and the overall balance points towards a competitive match in which neither defence looks especially dependable.
What matters before kick-off
Recent head-to-head result
FC Cincinnati secured a 2-1 victory over D.C. United on October 21, 2026, in a rescheduled MLS regular season fixture. FC Cincinnati scored through David Douděra and Teenage Hadebe, while Kimito Nono found the net for D.C. United.
Quick turnaround rematch
The match on October 24, 2026, at Audi Field sees D.C. United host FC Cincinnati in their second MLS regular season encounter in just four days.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.