Queens Park Rangers — Swansea City: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Queens Park Rangers face Swansea City in a Championship contest that looks evenly matched despite the visitors’ stronger recent form. Queens Park Rangers have won once, drawn three times and lost once across their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding eight. Their home record offers some encouragement, with two wins and two draws from five games, alongside eight goals scored. They have also shown an ability to create clearly more chances than they allow on home soil, which could help them challenge the league leaders.

Swansea City arrive top of the table with 23 points from 11 matches and four wins in their last five outings. Their away record is particularly impressive, with four victories from five games and nine goals scored. However, they have conceded five goals on the road, suggesting Queens Park Rangers may find opportunities if they can exploit space effectively. The recent head-to-head record also leans slightly towards Swansea City, who won three of the last six meetings, including a 2-1 victory in 2026.

Overall, Swansea City have the stronger recent results and a more convincing away record, but Queens Park Rangers’ home performances make this a competitive fixture. A moderate expectation of a closely contested, medium-scoring match appears reasonable, with a draw remaining a credible outcome.