Preston North End — West Bromwich Albion: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.6% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 75.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.8% / 24.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.9% / 86.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Preston North End
24th place · 4 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 away Wrexham 1:4
- 13.10.2026 away Birmingham 0:4
- 10.10.2026 home Millwall 0:1
- 19.09.2026 away QPR 2:2
- 12.09.2026 home Lincoln 0:1
West Bromwich Albion
6th place · 20 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Blackburn 3:2
- 13.10.2026 away Wrexham 2:1
- 10.10.2026 home Birmingham 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away Wolves 0:1
- 12.09.2026 home QPR 1:1
This season: Preston North End at home vs West Bromwich Albion away
| Metric | Preston North End · at home | West Bromwich Albion · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–4 | 3–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xG for per match | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| xG against per match | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Corners per match | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.04.2026 Preston North End 0:2 West Bromwich Albion
- 18.10.2025 West Bromwich Albion 2:1 Preston North End
- 01.01.2025 West Bromwich Albion 3:1 Preston North End
- 30.11.2024 Preston North End 1:1 West Bromwich Albion
- 04.05.2024 West Bromwich Albion 3:0 Preston North End
- 30.09.2023 Preston North End 0:4 West Bromwich Albion
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.60 → now 3.80 |
| W2 | was 2.00 → now 1.90 |
Match preview
Preston North End face a difficult challenge against West Bromwich Albion, with the visitors holding a clear advantage in overall form and league position. Preston North End sit 24th in the Championship with just 4 points from 11 matches, while West Bromwich Albion occupy 6th place with 20 points from the same number of games. The contrast is also evident in recent results: Preston North End have lost four of their last five matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 12. West Bromwich Albion have collected two wins and a draw over their last five games, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded, suggesting a more balanced level of performance.
Home advantage may offer Preston North End some support, but their record at their own ground remains a concern. They have won only one of five home matches, losing four and conceding 9 goals. West Bromwich Albion have won three of their five away fixtures, scoring 6 goals, although their tendency to allow more chances than they create could leave room for the hosts to respond. The head-to-head record further favours the visitors, who have won five of the last six meetings, including a 2-0 victory in 2026. Overall, West Bromwich Albion have a slight but convincing edge, with a moderately open contest and a draw remaining a plausible outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Preston North End squad availability issues
Preston North End face squad selection issues as Jordan Thompson is suspended, while Lewis Gibson, Harry Clarke, Caleb Wiley, Liam Gibbs, and Ali McCann are ruled out through injury.
West Bromwich Albion injury updates
West Bromwich Albion remain without Michael Johnston, Toby Collyer, and Nolan Galves for their trip to Preston.
Recent form heading into the clash
Preston North End sit bottom of the Championship after three straight defeats, while West Bromwich Albion enter the match following back-to-back league wins.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
