Match intelligence

Preston North End — West Bromwich Albion: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

League: Championship (England) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Preston North End1
:
1West Bromwich Albion
Locked signal X2 Probability 75.9% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 24.1% Home win Preston North End
X 25.5% Draw
W2 50.4% Away win West Bromwich Albion
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X275.9%
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
Totals 2.5
Over50.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X49.6%
1274.5%
X275.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.4% / 46.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.9% / 7.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.8% / 24.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.9% / 49.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.8% / 71.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.9% / 86.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.8% / 94.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Preston North End × West Bromwich Albion
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.1%
0:1 10.5%
0:2 9.0%
0:3 4.9%
0:4 2.0%
0:5 0.7%
1
1:0 6.6%
1:1 12.1%
1:2 9.6%
1:3 5.3%
1:4 2.2%
1:5 0.7%
2
2:0 3.8%
2:1 6.2%
2:2 5.1%
2:3 2.8%
2:4 1.2%
2:5 0.4%
3
3:0 1.3%
3:1 2.2%
3:2 1.8%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.6%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.1%
0:110.5%
1:29.6%
0:29.0%
0:07.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026

Preston North End

24th place · 4 pts after 11

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 away Wrexham 1:4
  • 13.10.2026 away Birmingham 0:4
  • 10.10.2026 home Millwall 0:1
  • 19.09.2026 away QPR 2:2
  • 12.09.2026 home Lincoln 0:1

West Bromwich Albion

6th place · 20 pts after 11

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 home Blackburn 3:2
  • 13.10.2026 away Wrexham 2:1
  • 10.10.2026 home Birmingham 0:1
  • 20.09.2026 away Wolves 0:1
  • 12.09.2026 home QPR 1:1

This season: Preston North End at home vs West Bromwich Albion away

Metric Preston North End · at home West Bromwich Albion · away
Matches55
W–D–L1–0–43–0–2
Goals scored per match0.801.20
Goals conceded per match1.801.20
xG for per match1.200.97
xG against per match1.251.81
Shots on target per match2.602.80
Corners per match6.605.00
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored60%60%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Preston North End wins0
Draws1
West Bromwich Albion wins5
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 18.04.2026 Preston North End 0:2 West Bromwich Albion
  • 18.10.2025 West Bromwich Albion 2:1 Preston North End
  • 01.01.2025 West Bromwich Albion 3:1 Preston North End
  • 30.11.2024 Preston North End 1:1 West Bromwich Albion
  • 04.05.2024 West Bromwich Albion 3:0 Preston North End
  • 30.09.2023 Preston North End 0:4 West Bromwich Albion

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 3.60 → now 3.80
W2 was 2.00 → now 1.90
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Preston North End face a difficult challenge against West Bromwich Albion, with the visitors holding a clear advantage in overall form and league position. Preston North End sit 24th in the Championship with just 4 points from 11 matches, while West Bromwich Albion occupy 6th place with 20 points from the same number of games. The contrast is also evident in recent results: Preston North End have lost four of their last five matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 12. West Bromwich Albion have collected two wins and a draw over their last five games, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded, suggesting a more balanced level of performance.

Home advantage may offer Preston North End some support, but their record at their own ground remains a concern. They have won only one of five home matches, losing four and conceding 9 goals. West Bromwich Albion have won three of their five away fixtures, scoring 6 goals, although their tendency to allow more chances than they create could leave room for the hosts to respond. The head-to-head record further favours the visitors, who have won five of the last six meetings, including a 2-0 victory in 2026. Overall, West Bromwich Albion have a slight but convincing edge, with a moderately open contest and a draw remaining a plausible outcome.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Preston North End squad availability issues

Preston North End face squad selection issues as Jordan Thompson is suspended, while Lewis Gibson, Harry Clarke, Caleb Wiley, Liam Gibbs, and Ali McCann are ruled out through injury.

Team news

West Bromwich Albion injury updates

West Bromwich Albion remain without Michael Johnston, Toby Collyer, and Nolan Galves for their trip to Preston.

Schedule

Recent form heading into the clash

Preston North End sit bottom of the Championship after three straight defeats, while West Bromwich Albion enter the match following back-to-back league wins.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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