Udinese Calcio — AC Milan: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026

Udinese Calcio face AC Milan in Serie A with the visitors holding a slight edge, although the overall outlook remains uncertain. The contrast in recent form is significant: Udinese Calcio have lost their last five matches, scoring five goals and conceding thirteen. They have also struggled at home, recording no wins in four matches, with one draw and three defeats. Their record of two goals scored and seven conceded in those games highlights the difficulty they have faced in balancing attacking threat with defensive stability.

AC Milan arrive in stronger form, unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. They have scored ten goals and conceded six during that run, while their fourth-place position and fifteen points after seven games compare favourably with Udinese Calcio's sixteenth place and four points. Away from home, AC Milan have drawn three of four matches and won once, suggesting they can remain competitive even when unable to dominate.

The head-to-head record favours AC Milan, who have won four of the last six meetings, although the most recent encounter ended in a 3-0 victory for Udinese Calcio. That result offers a reminder that the historical pattern is not decisive. A moderately scoring contest appears plausible, with AC Milan better placed overall, but Udinese Calcio's previous success in this fixture and the visitors' tendency to draw away make the outcome less clear-cut.