Cagliari Calcio — Bologna FC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Cagliari Calcio enter this Serie A fixture against Bologna FC in a relatively strong position, sitting seventh with 13 points from seven matches. Their recent form has been encouraging, with three wins and a draw in their last five games, although the latest result was a defeat. At home, however, their record is more balanced, with one win, one draw and one loss from three matches. They have scored twice and conceded twice in those games, while their tendency to allow more chances than they create raises questions about how effectively they can control the contest.

Bologna FC have had a more difficult start to the season, collecting five points and occupying 15th place. Their last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two defeats, with six goals scored and eight conceded. Away from home, they have managed one win in three outings, suggesting they remain capable of taking points on the road. The historical matchup also favours Bologna FC, who have won four of the last six meetings, although the most recent encounter ended goalless in 2026. Overall, the teams appear relatively evenly matched on current performance, despite Cagliari Calcio's superior league position. A moderate-scoring contest looks plausible, with a draw a credible possibility and Bologna FC having a reasonable chance of avoiding defeat.