Como 1907 — Sassuolo Calcio: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.3% |
| 12 | 82.3% | |
| X2 | 35.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.5% / 34.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.7% / 11.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.3% / 27.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.3% / 67.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Como 1907
5th place · 14 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Fiorentina 3:1
- 11.10.2026 home Roma 0:0
- 20.09.2026 away Frosinone 0:2
- 14.09.2026 home Parma 2:1
- 04.09.2026 away Genoa 4:1
Sassuolo Calcio
13th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.10.2026 away Frosinone 2:4
- 11.10.2026 home Milan 1:1
- 18.09.2026 away Monza 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Juventus 3:2
- 06.09.2026 away Bologna 2:2
This season: Como 1907 at home vs Sassuolo Calcio away
| Metric | Como 1907 · at home | Sassuolo Calcio · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–1–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.30 | 1.96 |
| xG against per match | 1.15 | 1.58 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.50 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 17.04.2026 Sassuolo Calcio 2:1 Como 1907
- 28.11.2025 Como 1907 2:0 Sassuolo Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.45 → now 1.50 |
| W2 | was 6.00 → now 5.00 |
Match preview
Como 1907 come into this Serie A meeting with the stronger overall profile, having won 3 of their last 5 matches while losing only once. They sit 5th after 7 games with 14 points, compared with Sassuolo Calcio in 13th on 8 points. The hosts have also been unbeaten in their two home matches this season, taking one win and one draw while conceding just one goal.
Sassuolo Calcio have found away games more difficult, with no wins from four trips, alongside one draw and three defeats. Their recent run is also less consistent, with one win, two draws and two losses, although they have scored 9 goals in their last five matches. Como 1907, by contrast, have scored 9 and conceded 5 across the same span, pointing to a more balanced recent record.
The overall read gives Como 1907 a moderate but clear edge, with the hosts creating more chances than they allow at home. A high-scoring contest is plausible, and both teams have reasons to contribute offensively, although Como 1907's stronger league position and home record make them the more convincing side.
What matters before kick-off
Como's Champions League victory
On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, Como 1907 secured a 4-1 victory over Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League ahead of their Serie A fixture against Sassuolo.
Como's win over Fiorentina
In their previous Serie A match, Como 1907 earned a 3-1 away victory against Fiorentina.
Sassuolo's defeat against Frosinone
Sassuolo head into the fixture following a 4-2 away defeat against Frosinone in Serie A.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.