Go Ahead Eagles — SC Telstar: Win probabilities, 23.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.7% |
| 12 | 79.8% | |
| X2 | 36.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.5% / 26.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.7% / 66.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.8% / 81.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.10.2026
Go Ahead Eagles
8th place · 14 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Zwolle 1:4
- 10.10.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away Nijmegen 1:1
- 12.09.2026 home Groningen 1:1
- 08.09.2026 away Utrecht 3:3
SC Telstar
16th place · 6 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.10.2026 home Feyenoord 3:4
- 11.10.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 20.09.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away Heerenveen 0:0
- 09.09.2026 away Twente 0:1
This season: Go Ahead Eagles at home vs SC Telstar away
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles · at home | SC Telstar · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.70 | 0.75 |
| xG against per match | 1.22 | 2.24 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.75 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.25 | 3.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 08.02.2026 Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 SC Telstar
- 28.09.2025 SC Telstar 4:2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.60 → now 1.53 |
| X | was 4.20 → now 4.50 |
| W2 | was 5.25 → now 5.50 |
Match preview
Go Ahead Eagles enter this Eredivisie meeting with SC Telstar as the clearly stronger side on balance, particularly given their home performances and the contrast in the teams’ recent form. Go Ahead Eagles have collected 14 points from 10 matches and sit eighth in the table, while SC Telstar have six points from nine games and occupy 16th place. Although Go Ahead Eagles have not won any of their last five matches, recording four draws and one defeat, their home record offers a more encouraging picture: two wins and two draws in four games, with 11 goals scored. They have also consistently created more chances than they allow on home soil, a factor that supports their advantage.
SC Telstar arrive after three defeats and two draws in their last five matches, scoring five goals and conceding eight. Their away results have been somewhat more stable, with one win, one draw and two defeats, but their limited attacking output of two goals in four away games raises questions about their ability to sustain pressure. Their tendency to allow more chances than they create could leave them vulnerable against an opponent that has shown greater attacking productivity at home.
The overall balance favours Go Ahead Eagles, with a moderate rather than decisive advantage. A relatively open contest is plausible, and SC Telstar may find opportunities to score despite their recent struggles. The hosts have the stronger foundation, but their winless run suggests the match could remain competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Go Ahead Eagles' recent form
Go Ahead Eagles enter their Eredivisie fixture against SC Telstar following a 4-1 away defeat to PEC Zwolle in their previous league match.
SC Telstar's recent result
SC Telstar head into round 10 of the Eredivisie following a 4-3 home defeat against Feyenoord in their prior league fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.