Portsmouth FC — Millwall FC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Portsmouth FC host Millwall FC in a Championship fixture that looks closely balanced, with both sides level on 15 points after 11 matches. Millwall FC sit one place above their opponents in 12th, while Portsmouth FC occupy 13th, leaving little to separate them in the league standings. Recent form also suggests a competitive encounter: Portsmouth FC have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches, compared with one win, three draws and one defeat for Millwall FC. Both teams have scored seven goals over that period, although Portsmouth FC have conceded six, one fewer than Millwall FC.

Home advantage could give Portsmouth FC a slight edge, particularly as they have shown an ability to create more chances than they allow on their own ground. However, their home record is mixed, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in five matches. Millwall FC have also won twice away from home, but their ten goals conceded in five away fixtures point to potential defensive vulnerability. The recent head-to-head record is evenly split, with two wins apiece across four meetings, although Portsmouth FC won the latest encounter 3-1 in 2026. Overall, this appears to be a moderately balanced contest with scope for goals, but neither side has established a decisive advantage. A draw remains a credible outcome if both teams cancel each other out.