Charlton Athletic — Norwich City: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

Charlton Athletic face Norwich City in a Championship fixture where the visitors have a slight edge, despite both teams struggling for consistency. Charlton Athletic have collected three draws and suffered two defeats in their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding eight. Their overall league position is 17th, but their home performances offer some encouragement: they remain unbeaten in five home games, with two wins and three draws, while conceding just twice. That defensive resilience could make them difficult to overcome, particularly if they can keep the contest controlled.

Norwich City arrive in poorer recent form, having lost their last five matches, although they have scored seven goals during that run. They sit 21st in the table, four points behind Charlton Athletic, and their away record has been a concern, with four defeats in five matches and eleven goals conceded. However, the recent head-to-head record favours Norwich City, who have won both of the last two meetings, including a 1-0 victory over Charlton Athletic in 2026. This provides a further reason to give the visitors a narrow advantage, even with their current difficulties.

A moderately balanced contest with a medium level of scoring looks plausible. Charlton Athletic have the stronger home foundation, while Norwich City have the historical advantage between these sides. A draw remains a credible outcome, but Norwich City may have enough to avoid defeat.