Club Brugge — St. Truidense VV: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.9% |
| 12 | 86.0% | |
| X2 | 26.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.5% / 1.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 38.1% / 61.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Club Brugge
2nd place · 21 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.10.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 4:1
- 20.09.2026 home Genk 3:0
- 13.09.2026 home Antwerp 3:1
- 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
St. Truidense VV
13th place · 8 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.10.2026 away Mechelen 3:4
- 20.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:2
- 12.09.2026 away Beveren 0:2
- 05.09.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 4:0
- 02.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:3
This season: Club Brugge at home vs St. Truidense VV away
| Metric | Club Brugge · at home | St. Truidense VV · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 4–0–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.25 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.67 | 1.90 |
| xG against per match | 1.48 | 1.84 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 5.25 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Club Brugge 2:0 St. Truidense VV
- 11.04.2026 St. Truidense VV 1:2 Club Brugge
- 06.12.2025 St. Truidense VV 3:2 Club Brugge
- 21.09.2025 Club Brugge 2:0 St. Truidense VV
- 15.02.2025 St. Truidense VV 2:2 Club Brugge
- 23.11.2024 Club Brugge 7:0 St. Truidense VV
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 5.25 → now 5.50 |
| W2 | was 6.50 → now 6.25 |
Match preview
Club Brugge enter this First Division A fixture as the clearly stronger side, with their recent form and home record providing a solid foundation. They have won four of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just four, while their position near the top of the table reflects a strong start to the season. Their home performances have been particularly convincing: four wins from four matches, with 10 goals scored and only one conceded. Club Brugge have also demonstrated an ability to create considerably more chances than they allow at home, giving them a clear structural advantage ahead of this meeting.
St. Truidense VV face a more difficult task after losing four of their last five matches. They have conceded 11 goals across that sequence, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities that could be exposed by the hosts' attacking pressure. Although St. Truidense VV have scored 10 goals in four away matches this season, they have also conceded 10, indicating a tendency toward open games rather than consistent control. The recent head-to-head record further favours Club Brugge, who have won four of the last six meetings, including a 2-0 victory in 2026.
The overall balance points toward a home victory, with Club Brugge better positioned to dictate the tempo and generate scoring opportunities. St. Truidense VV may still find opportunities to threaten, but containing the hosts over the full match looks like their principal challenge. A relatively high-scoring contest is a reasonable expectation.
What matters before kick-off
Club Brugge's Champions League result
Club Brugge enter the match following a 3-0 home victory over RC Lens in the UEFA Champions League on October 21, 2026.
St. Truidense VV away success in Europe
Ahead of facing Club Brugge, St. Truidense VV secured a 1-0 win on the road against Danish side FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Conference League.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
