Match intelligence

RAAL La Louviere — SV Zulte Waregem: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
RAAL La Louviere3
:
0SV Zulte Waregem
Locked signal X2 Probability 67.3% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 32.7% Home win RAAL La Louviere
X 27.8% Draw
W2 39.5% Away win SV Zulte Waregem
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.2%
Both teams to score
Yes55.9%
Totals 2.5
Over50.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X60.5%
1272.2%
X267.3%
Both teams to scoreYes/No55.9% / 44.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.3% / 7.7%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 76.3% / 23.7%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.8% / 49.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.8% / 71.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.8% / 86.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.7% / 94.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RAAL La Louviere × SV Zulte Waregem
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.7%
0:1 8.5%
0:2 6.8%
0:3 3.2%
0:4 1.2%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 7.5%
1:1 13.2%
1:2 8.7%
1:3 4.1%
1:4 1.5%
1:5 0.4%
2
2:0 5.5%
2:1 7.8%
2:2 5.6%
2:3 2.7%
2:4 0.9%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 2.3%
3:1 3.3%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 1.1%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.2%
1:28.7%
0:18.5%
2:17.8%
0:07.7%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026

RAAL La Louviere

16th place · 4 pts after 8

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 10.10.2026 home Club Brugge 1:4
  • 19.09.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:2
  • 13.09.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
  • 05.09.2026 away St Truiden 0:4
  • 29.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:2

SV Zulte Waregem

8th place · 11 pts after 8

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 10.10.2026 home Gent 0:2
  • 19.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:3
  • 13.09.2026 home Charleroi 0:1
  • 06.09.2026 away Kortrijk 2:0
  • 30.08.2026 away Westerlo 2:2

This season: RAAL La Louviere at home vs SV Zulte Waregem away

Metric RAAL La Louviere · at home SV Zulte Waregem · away
Matches44
W–D–L1–1–21–2–1
Goals scored per match1.751.00
Goals conceded per match2.001.25
xG for per match1.851.16
xG against per match2.251.55
Shots on target per match4.754.50
Corners per match3.504.50
Over 2.5 goals100%50%
Both teams scored75%25%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

RAAL La Louviere wins0
Draws2
SV Zulte Waregem wins2
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored1/4
Over 2.5 goals2/4
  • 26.04.2026 SV Zulte Waregem 4:0 RAAL La Louviere
  • 19.04.2026 RAAL La Louviere 0:2 SV Zulte Waregem
  • 13.12.2025 SV Zulte Waregem 2:2 RAAL La Louviere
  • 04.10.2025 RAAL La Louviere 0:0 SV Zulte Waregem

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 2.90 → now 2.80
W2 was 2.25 → now 2.35
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

RAAL La Louviere face SV Zulte Waregem in a First Division A fixture between two teams with similar recent form but contrasting league positions. The hosts have collected just four points from eight matches and sit 16th out of 18 teams. Their last five games brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with six goals scored and 12 conceded. Home advantage has offered limited protection so far: RAAL La Louviere have won once in four home matches, losing twice and conceding eight goals. Their chances created and allowed have been roughly level, suggesting that improving defensive resilience will be important if they are to gain control of the contest.

SV Zulte Waregem occupy eighth place with 11 points from eight matches, giving them a stronger league position despite an identical record of one win, one draw and three losses in their last five outings. Their recent attacking output has been more modest, with four goals scored and eight conceded, but their away record is relatively balanced: one win, two draws and one defeat in four matches. The head-to-head record also favours the visitors, who have won two of the four meetings, while the other two ended in draws. Their 4-0 victory over RAAL La Louviere in the most recent meeting adds context, although it does not determine the next result. Overall, the teams appear evenly matched in immediate form, with SV Zulte Waregem holding a slight edge through their league standing and away consistency. A competitive game with a moderate scoring level is a reasonable expectation.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Belgian Pro League matchday 9 fixture

The Belgian Pro League matchday 9 fixture for the 2026/27 season between RAAL La Louviere and SV Zulte Waregem takes place at Easi Arena in La Louviere.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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