Royal Antwerp FC — Royal Charleroi SC: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 45.8% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 78.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.1% / 18.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.8% / 81.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Royal Antwerp FC
13th place · 7 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.10.2026 away Westerlo 1:5
- 20.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:2
- 13.09.2026 away Club Brugge 1:3
- 05.09.2026 away Standard 0:1
- 30.08.2026 home St Truiden 1:4
Royal Charleroi SC
3rd place · 21 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.10.2026 away Standard 1:0
- 19.09.2026 home Cercle Brugge 3:2
- 13.09.2026 away Waregem 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 2:3
- 29.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:1
This season: Royal Antwerp FC at home vs Royal Charleroi SC away
| Metric | Royal Antwerp FC · at home | Royal Charleroi SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 4–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.31 | 1.55 |
| xG against per match | 2.25 | 1.01 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 4.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.25 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.05.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 0:1 Royal Charleroi SC
- 10.04.2026 Royal Charleroi SC 2:1 Royal Antwerp FC
- 25.01.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 0:2 Royal Charleroi SC
- 17.08.2025 Royal Charleroi SC 1:1 Royal Antwerp FC
- 08.12.2024 Royal Antwerp FC 1:3 Royal Charleroi SC
- 28.07.2024 Royal Charleroi SC 0:1 Royal Antwerp FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Royal Antwerp FC face a difficult challenge against Royal Charleroi SC in the First Division A, with the visitors holding a clear advantage in recent form and overall performance. Royal Antwerp FC have lost their last five matches, scoring just 3 goals and conceding 15. Their home record offers limited reassurance: they have won only once in four league matches at home, conceding 11 goals. Their tendency to allow more chances than they create is a particular concern against an opponent performing consistently well away from home.
Royal Charleroi SC arrive in considerably stronger shape, having won four of their last five matches and scored 10 goals in that run. Their away record is especially impressive, with four wins from four matches, 6 goals scored and just 1 conceded. They also create more chances than they allow on the road, suggesting they have the balance and defensive organisation to exploit Royal Antwerp FC's current weaknesses. The head-to-head record reinforces this picture, with Royal Charleroi SC winning four of the last six meetings, including a 1-0 victory in the most recent encounter in 2026.
The overall assessment gives Royal Charleroi SC a strong advantage, although Royal Antwerp FC's home scoring record leaves room for a competitive contest. Both teams could contribute to the scoring, but the visitors appear better equipped to control the match and secure a positive result.
What matters before kick-off
Contrasting Recent Form
Charleroi enter the match having won their last four away games, including a 1-0 victory against Standard Liège. In contrast, Royal Antwerp enter the fixture on a five-match losing streak in league play.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.