KV Kortrijk — Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: Win probabilities, 23.10.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.4% |
| 12 | 73.7% | |
| X2 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.10.2026
KV Kortrijk
18th place · 3 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.10.2026 away Genk 0:3
- 20.09.2026 home Beveren 1:0
- 13.09.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 0:3
- 06.09.2026 home Waregem 0:2
- 03.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:1
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
14th place · 6 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.10.2026 home St Truiden 4:3
- 19.09.2026 away Lommel SK 0:0
- 11.09.2026 home Anderlecht 0:1
- 05.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:4
- 29.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:2
This season: KV Kortrijk at home vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen away
| Metric | KV Kortrijk · at home | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–3 | 0–2–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| xG against per match | 1.12 | 1.31 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Corners per match | 4.25 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 29.11.2024 KV Kortrijk 3:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 20.10.2024 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 3:0 KV Kortrijk
- 24.02.2024 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 3:0 KV Kortrijk
- 26.11.2023 KV Kortrijk 0:3 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 21.01.2023 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 3:2 KV Kortrijk
- 10.09.2022 KV Kortrijk 1:4 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KV Kortrijk face Yellow-Red KV Mechelen in a First Division A encounter that looks competitive overall, although the hosts have greater pressure to improve their recent performances. KV Kortrijk have lost four of their last five matches, winning only once and scoring just one goal while conceding nine. They sit 18th in the league with three points from eight games, and their home record offers limited reassurance: one win and three defeats in four matches, with eight goals conceded. Their main challenge will be to become more effective in attack while reducing the defensive vulnerabilities that have undermined their results.
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen arrive in somewhat better league standing, occupying 14th place with six points, but their recent form is also inconsistent. They have recorded one win, two draws and two losses across their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding ten. Their away record remains a concern, with two draws and two defeats from four games. However, the historical matchup favours the visitors, who have won five of the six previous meetings, despite losing the most recent encounter 3-1 in 2024. Both sides have shown defensive weaknesses, making goals at both ends a plausible scenario. With neither team demonstrating convincing consistency, a closely contested match is the most reasonable expectation, with Yellow-Red KV Mechelen holding a slight historical advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Injury updates for KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen head coach Fred Vanderbiest confirmed that Simion Michez is uncertain for the match against KV Kortrijk, while Bouke Boersma is sidelined with a muscle issue.
KV Kortrijk aiming to show new identity under Beichler
KV Kortrijk head coach Daniel Beichler stated ahead of the KV Mechelen clash that his side intends to show a new team identity with higher pressing and collective play.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
