KVC Westerlo — SK Beveren: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.8% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.7% / 13.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.9% / 33.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.2% / 54.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.5% / 73.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
KVC Westerlo
6th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.10.2026 home Antwerp 5:1
- 20.09.2026 away St Truiden 2:0
- 12.09.2026 home Standard 4:2
- 05.09.2026 away Mechelen 4:0
- 30.08.2026 home Waregem 2:2
SK Beveren
11th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.10.2026 home Lommel SK 1:3
- 20.09.2026 away Kortrijk 0:1
- 12.09.2026 home St Truiden 2:0
- 06.09.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
- 28.08.2026 away Genk 0:4
This season: KVC Westerlo at home vs SK Beveren away
| Metric | KVC Westerlo · at home | SK Beveren · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 0–0–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 0.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 2.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.69 | 0.69 |
| xG against per match | 1.36 | 2.54 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.75 | 2.25 |
| Corners per match | 2.75 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 25% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.95 → now 1.80 |
| X | was 3.75 → now 3.90 |
| W2 | was 3.20 → now 3.70 |
Match preview
KVC Westerlo head into their First Division A meeting with SK Beveren in stronger recent form, giving the hosts a slight edge ahead of Saturday’s encounter. KVC Westerlo have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding five during that run. Their position in sixth place with 13 points also puts them ahead of SK Beveren, who sit eleventh with nine points after eight league matches. The difference in recent consistency is a key factor, although KVC Westerlo’s home performances suggest there is still room for improvement.
KVC Westerlo have won two, drawn one and lost one of their four home league matches, scoring 12 goals but conceding 10. Their attacking output makes them a threat, yet the defensive record indicates that SK Beveren could find opportunities. The visitors have struggled particularly away from home, losing all four of their away matches and scoring only once while conceding 11 goals. They have also allowed considerably more chances than they create on the road, which presents a significant challenge against an in-form opponent.
Overall, KVC Westerlo have the stronger case, supported by their recent results and SK Beveren’s poor away record. However, the hosts have not been consistently secure defensively at home, so a competitive, potentially high-scoring match with opportunities for both teams remains a reasonable expectation.
What matters before kick-off
Chance for a historic milestone
A win against SK Beveren would mark KVC Westerlo's first-ever streak of five consecutive victories (15 points out of 15) in the Belgian top flight.
Return of Reno Münz
KVC Westerlo defender Reno Münz made his return from a lengthy injury layoff during the Croky Cup tie against Patro Eisden ahead of the fixture against SK Beveren.
First professional contract for Tibe s'Jongers
SK Beveren academy product midfielder Tibe s'Jongers signed his first professional contract with the club after progressing through the youth ranks.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.