Match intelligence

SC Internacional RS — Botafogo FR RJ: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SC Internacional RS3
:
0Botafogo FR RJ
Locked signal 1X Probability 75.3% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 48.4% Home win SC Internacional RS
X 26.9% Draw
W2 24.7% Away win Botafogo FR RJ
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X74.4%
Both teams to score
Yes56.7%
Totals 2.5
Over53.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X74.4%
1272.9%
X252.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No56.7% / 43.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.6% / 7.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 78.2% / 21.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 53.1% / 46.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.8% / 69.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.3% / 84.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.5% / 93.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SC Internacional RS × Botafogo FR RJ
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.4%
0:1 5.7%
0:2 4.1%
0:3 1.6%
0:4 0.5%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 8.6%
1:1 12.9%
1:2 6.7%
1:3 2.6%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 8.2%
2:1 9.5%
2:2 5.5%
2:3 2.1%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 4.5%
3:1 5.2%
3:2 3.0%
3:3 1.2%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.8%
4:1 2.1%
4:2 1.2%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.6%
5:1 0.7%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.9%
2:19.5%
1:08.6%
2:08.2%
0:07.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026

SC Internacional RS

17th place · 32 pts after 31

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 away Mirassol 0:2
  • 11.10.2026 away Gremio 1:1
  • 07.10.2026 home Corinthians 2:1
  • 20.09.2026 away Sao Paulo 0:1
  • 12.09.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 2:1

Botafogo FR RJ

11th place · 39 pts after 31

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.10.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 1:0
  • 12.10.2026 away Coritiba 1:1
  • 08.10.2026 home Vasco 1:2
  • 19.09.2026 away Mirassol 0:2
  • 16.09.2026 home Gremio 3:2

This season: SC Internacional RS at home vs Botafogo FR RJ away

Metric SC Internacional RS · at home Botafogo FR RJ · away
Matches1515
W–D–L4–5–64–3–8
Goals scored per match1.201.20
Goals conceded per match1.131.73
Over 2.5 goals40%53%
Both teams scored60%67%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

SC Internacional RS wins2
Draws1
Botafogo FR RJ wins3
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 25.04.2026 Botafogo FR RJ 2:2 SC Internacional RS
  • 04.10.2025 SC Internacional RS 2:0 Botafogo FR RJ
  • 12.05.2025 Botafogo FR RJ 4:0 SC Internacional RS
  • 05.12.2024 SC Internacional RS 0:1 Botafogo FR RJ
  • 20.07.2024 Botafogo FR RJ 1:0 SC Internacional RS
  • 07.12.2023 SC Internacional RS 3:1 Botafogo FR RJ

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SC Internacional RS head into this Brasileiro Serie A meeting with a slight edge, although the league table gives Botafogo FR RJ the stronger overall position. SC Internacional RS are 17th with 32 points after 31 matches, while Botafogo FR RJ sit 11th with 39 points. Recent form is balanced, with both sides recording two wins, one draw and two losses across their latest five matches.

The home setting offers SC Internacional RS some support, but their record there has been mixed: four wins, five draws and six losses from 15 matches. Botafogo FR RJ have been less effective away from home, winning four, drawing three and losing eight of their 15 away fixtures, while conceding 26 goals. The most recent meeting finished 2-2, underlining the competitive nature of this matchup. Overall, SC Internacional RS have a slight advantage, with a medium-scoring game and goals from both teams a reasonable reading of the contest.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Internacional missing four players through suspension

Internacional head coach Eduardo Baptista will be without goalkeeper Matheus Cunha, defender Gabriel Mercado, midfielder Rodrigo Villagra, and forward Vitinho due to suspensions.

Team news

Alan Patrick returns to training for Internacional

Internacional midfielder and captain Alan Patrick returned to full team training following a thigh injury recovery and is available to face Botafogo.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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