Colorado Rapids — Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.1% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 70.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.6% / 20.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.6% / 66.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Portland Timbers 0:0
- 15.10.2026 home Minnesota United 2:2
- 11.10.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
- 27.09.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3
- 20.09.2026 home Seattle Sounders 3:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.10.2026 away Austin FC 2:1
- 15.10.2026 away St. Louis City 0:0
- 11.10.2026 away Los Angeles FC 1:1
- 07.10.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:3
- 27.09.2026 home DC United 3:3
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 9–3–3 | 7–5–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.04.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:1 Colorado Rapids
- 13.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 3:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 06.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:0 Colorado Rapids
- 02.06.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:1 Colorado Rapids
- 16.05.2024 Colorado Rapids 1:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 28.09.2023 Colorado Rapids 2:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Colorado Rapids face Vancouver Whitecaps FC in an MLS matchup where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the hosts’ home record makes this a competitive contest. Colorado Rapids have drawn four of their last five matches, losing once and failing to secure a win during that run. Despite this inconsistent recent form, their home performances have been considerably stronger, with nine wins in 15 matches this season. They have scored 28 goals at home, demonstrating their ability to create attacking opportunities on familiar ground.
Vancouver Whitecaps FC have also experienced a mixed recent spell, recording one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five matches. However, their away record provides a stronger basis for optimism: seven wins in 15 away matches, with 28 goals scored and 17 conceded. The head-to-head record also leans towards Vancouver Whitecaps FC, who have won three of the last six meetings, including a 3-1 victory over Colorado Rapids in 2026. Four of those six encounters featured more than two goals, supporting the prospect of an open game. Both teams have reasons to expect scoring opportunities, but Vancouver Whitecaps FC appear slightly better positioned to avoid defeat. Colorado Rapids’ home strength should keep the contest competitive, making a draw or a narrow away win the most plausible overall outcomes.
What matters before kick-off
Fifth consecutive road match for Vancouver Whitecaps
The visit to the Colorado Rapids concludes a five-game road stretch for Vancouver Whitecaps FC in the MLS regular season.
Teams' conference standings
Heading into the match, Vancouver Whitecaps FC sat atop the Western Conference with 55 points and clinched a playoff spot, while the Colorado Rapids held ninth place with 39 points.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
