Coventry City — Fulham: Win probabilities, 24.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
32.8%
Home win
Coventry City
X
26.7%
Draw
W2
40.6%
Away win
Fulham
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1273.3%
Both teams to score
Yes59.0%
Totals 2.5
Over54.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.4% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 67.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.1% / 20.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.5% / 67.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.5% / 83.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.2% / 92.8% |
Goal distribution model
Coventry City × Fulham
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.6%
0:1
7.6%
0:2
6.6%
0:3
3.3%
0:4
1.3%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
6.7%
1:1
12.5%
1:2
8.9%
1:3
4.5%
1:4
1.7%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
5.1%
2:1
7.8%
2:2
6.0%
2:3
3.0%
2:4
1.2%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
2.3%
3:1
3.5%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
1.4%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
0.9%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
1:28.9%
2:17.8%
0:17.6%
1:06.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.10.2026
Coventry City
18th place · 3 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Nott'm Forest 1:0
- 13.09.2026 home Brighton 0:5
- 05.09.2026 away Man City 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Hull 0:1
- 21.08.2026 away Arsenal 0:3
Fulham
19th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Man United 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Liverpool 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Crystal Palace 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Sunderland 0:1
- 24.08.2026 home Chelsea 2:3
This season: Coventry City at home vs Fulham away
| Metric | Coventry City · at home | Fulham · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.31 | 0.82 |
| xG against per match | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Coventry City wins2
Draws0
Fulham wins0
Goals per match4.50
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals2/2
- 10.04.2022 Fulham 1:3 Coventry City
- 02.10.2021 Coventry City 4:1 Fulham
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.04 → now 2.88 |
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