Hull City — Brentford: Win probabilities, 25.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
20.9%
Home win
Hull City
X
23.9%
Draw
W2
55.2%
Away win
Brentford
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X279.1%
Both teams to score
Yes55.9%
Totals 2.5
Over55.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 44.8% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 79.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.4% / 20.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.4% / 66.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.1% / 82.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.6% / 92.4% |
Goal distribution model
Hull City × Brentford
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.1%
0:1
9.4%
0:2
9.3%
0:3
5.7%
0:4
2.7%
0:5
1.0%
1
1:0
5.1%
1:1
11.3%
1:2
9.9%
1:3
6.1%
1:4
2.8%
1:5
1.0%
2
2:0
3.1%
2:1
5.7%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
3.2%
2:4
1.5%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
1.1%
3:1
2.0%
3:2
1.9%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.3%
4:1
0.5%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.3%
1:29.9%
0:19.4%
0:29.3%
1:36.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 25.10.2026
Hull City
8th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Newcastle 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Chelsea 2:2
- 05.09.2026 home Aston Villa 0:0
- 29.08.2026 away Coventry 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home Man United 2:0
Brentford
4th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 home Chelsea 3:0
- 12.09.2026 away Bournemouth 2:2
- 05.09.2026 home Sunderland 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Leeds 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home Tottenham 3:0
This season: Hull City at home vs Brentford away
| Metric | Hull City · at home | Brentford · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| xG against per match | 1.88 | 1.59 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Hull City wins0
Draws1
Brentford wins1
Goals per match4.00
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
- 01.02.2020 Hull City 1:5 Brentford
- 17.08.2019 Brentford 1:1 Hull City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.