KRC Genk — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.9% |
| 12 | 82.7% | |
| X2 | 29.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.3% / 13.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
KRC Genk
9th place · 9 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3
- 13.09.2026 home Gent 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:0
- 28.08.2026 home Beveren 4:0
- 22.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:4
KV Kortrijk
18th place · 3 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Beveren 1:0
- 13.09.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 0:3
- 06.09.2026 home Waregem 0:2
- 03.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Charleroi 1:3
This season: KRC Genk at home vs KV Kortrijk away
| Metric | KRC Genk · at home | KV Kortrijk · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 0–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| xG for per match | 2.74 | 0.71 |
| xG against per match | 0.78 | 2.97 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 07.12.2024 KRC Genk 3:2 KV Kortrijk
- 05.10.2024 KV Kortrijk 2:1 KRC Genk
- 17.12.2023 KRC Genk 4:0 KV Kortrijk
- 29.10.2023 KV Kortrijk 0:3 KRC Genk
- 26.12.2022 KV Kortrijk 1:0 KRC Genk
- 08.10.2022 KRC Genk 2:1 KV Kortrijk
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KRC Genk host KV Kortrijk at a stage of the season when the gap between the two sides looks sizeable on paper. The hosts sit ninth in First Division A with nine points from seven games, and their home record stands out: three matches, two wins, one draw, no defeats, with eight goals scored and three conceded. KV Kortrijk, by contrast, occupy eighteenth place with just three points, having lost all three of their away fixtures so far, scoring none and conceding seven on the road.
Recent form sharpens the picture. Over the last five matches KV Kortrijk have taken a single win and lost four, while KRC Genk have remained unbeaten in that stretch, if often held to draws. The head-to-head record also tilts firmly towards the hosts, with four wins from six meetings and the most recent encounter ending 3-2 in Genk's favour in 2024, a fixture that also produced goals at both ends.
Taken together, these numbers point to a moderate edge for the hosts rather than a formality. The home side profiles as the stronger team on current evidence, and the fixtures involving these clubs have tended to be open, with goals a regular feature at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
Genk return to home arena
The Matchday 8 Belgian Pro League fixture against KV Kortrijk at the Cegeka Arena marks KRC Genk's first home game in over four weeks.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.