Match intelligence

RAAL La Louviere — Club Brugge: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
RAAL La Louviere1
:
4Club Brugge
Locked signal W2 Probability 72.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 10.3% Home win RAAL La Louviere
X 17.3% Draw
W2 72.4% Away win Club Brugge
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X289.7%
Both teams to score
Yes53.0%
Totals 2.5
Over64.6%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X27.6%
1282.7%
X289.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.0% / 47.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.9% / 4.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 85.0% / 15.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 64.6% / 35.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 42.5% / 57.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 24.2% / 75.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 12.0% / 88.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RAAL La Louviere × Club Brugge
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.1%
0:1 8.4%
0:2 11.0%
0:3 9.1%
0:4 5.6%
0:5 2.8%
1
1:0 2.5%
1:1 8.1%
1:2 9.4%
1:3 7.7%
1:4 4.8%
1:5 2.4%
2
2:0 1.3%
2:1 3.2%
2:2 4.0%
2:3 3.3%
2:4 2.0%
2:5 1.0%
3
3:0 0.4%
3:1 0.9%
3:2 1.1%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.6%
3:5 0.3%
4
4:0 0.1%
4:1 0.2%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.0%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:211.0%
1:29.4%
0:39.1%
0:18.4%
1:18.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026

RAAL La Louviere

14th place · 4 pts after 7

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 19.09.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:2
  • 13.09.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
  • 05.09.2026 away St Truiden 0:4
  • 29.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:2
  • 21.08.2026 away Standard 0:2

Club Brugge

3rd place · 18 pts after 7

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 20.09.2026 home Genk 3:0
  • 13.09.2026 home Antwerp 3:1
  • 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
  • 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
  • 23.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:0

This season: RAAL La Louviere at home vs Club Brugge away

Metric RAAL La Louviere · at home Club Brugge · away
Matches33
W–D–L1–1–12–0–1
Goals scored per match2.001.67
Goals conceded per match1.330.67
xG for per match2.091.46
xG against per match1.370.92
Shots on target per match5.335.00
Corners per match2.3310.00
Over 2.5 goals100%67%
Both teams scored67%33%

Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings

RAAL La Louviere wins2
Draws0
Club Brugge wins0
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
  • 16.01.2026 Club Brugge 2:3 RAAL La Louviere
  • 13.09.2025 RAAL La Louviere 1:0 Club Brugge

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · Claude Opus 4.7

RAAL La Louviere host Club Brugge from a difficult position in the table. The hosts sit 14th of 18 after seven rounds with four points, and their last five league outings read L W L D L, with ten goals conceded against five scored. Club Brugge arrive in a very different shape: third in the standings with 18 points, winners of four of their last five, and holding a positive goal balance both overall and on the road, where they have taken two wins from three trips.

On the broader picture, this looks like a visit by a side clearly stronger in recent form and league standing, and the signals point toward an away-leaning contest rather than a tight one. Both teams have been creating more chances than they allow in their respective home and away settings, which fits the expectation of an open, higher-scoring game.

The one note of caution comes from the head-to-head: the two previous meetings both went to RAAL La Louviere, including a 2-3 win at Club Brugge in the most recent encounter. That history tempers the pre-match picture and gives the hosts something to lean on, even if the current season numbers favour the visitors with a moderate degree of confidence.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Marius Courcoul selected for France U20s

RAAL La Louviere midfielder Marius Courcoul was called up to represent the France U20 national team during the October international window.

Schedule

Pro League matchday 8 fixture at Easi Arena

RAAL La Louviere hosts Club Brugge in round eight of the Belgian Pro League at the Easi Arena on Saturday, October 10, 2026.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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