Standard Liege — Royal Charleroi SC: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.7% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.0% / 23.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Standard Liege
7th place · 11 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 away Gent 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Westerlo 2:4
- 05.09.2026 home Antwerp 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1
- 21.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:0
Royal Charleroi SC
4th place · 18 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Cercle Brugge 3:2
- 13.09.2026 away Waregem 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 2:3
- 29.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:1
- 22.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:0
This season: Standard Liege at home vs Royal Charleroi SC away
| Metric | Standard Liege · at home | Royal Charleroi SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 3–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| xG for per match | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| xG against per match | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.33 | 6.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.05.2026 Standard Liege 0:2 Royal Charleroi SC
- 18.04.2026 Royal Charleroi SC 1:2 Standard Liege
- 18.01.2026 Royal Charleroi SC 2:0 Standard Liege
- 31.10.2025 Standard Liege 3:1 Royal Charleroi SC
- 04.05.2025 Standard Liege 0:1 Royal Charleroi SC
- 06.04.2025 Royal Charleroi SC 1:0 Standard Liege
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
:::writing{variant="document" id="91452" title="Football Match Preview"} Standard Liege host Royal Charleroi SC in the First Division A with both sides entering a fixture that appears evenly matched. The overall assessment suggests there is no clear favorite, so small moments in possession, defensive organization, and efficiency in front of goal could have a significant influence on the contest. A balanced approach from both teams would not be surprising given the qualitative outlook.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to score during the game. That points toward an open contest where each side can create meaningful opportunities while also facing periods of pressure. Although several plausible scorelines can be imagined, the available information mainly indicates a competitive encounter in which neither Standard Liege nor Royal Charleroi SC holds a decisive advantage. Patience, discipline, and taking chances at the right moments are likely to be important factors throughout the match. :::
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.