Yellow-Red KV Mechelen — St. Truidense VV: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.4% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.6% / 40.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.2% / 62.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.0% / 80.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.3% / 90.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
17th place · 3 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Lommel SK 0:0
- 11.09.2026 home Anderlecht 0:1
- 05.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:4
- 29.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Charleroi 0:2
St. Truidense VV
11th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:2
- 12.09.2026 away Beveren 0:2
- 05.09.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 4:0
- 02.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:3
- 30.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:1
This season: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen at home vs St. Truidense VV away
| Metric | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen · at home | St. Truidense VV · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.52 | 2.05 |
| xG against per match | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| Corners per match | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.05.2026 St. Truidense VV 3:0 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 26.04.2026 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:4 St. Truidense VV
- 21.12.2025 St. Truidense VV 1:0 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 04.10.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:3 St. Truidense VV
- 21.02.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:1 St. Truidense VV
- 08.11.2024 St. Truidense VV 2:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen face St. Truidense VV in First Division A, with the available assessment giving the visitors a slight edge. Confidence is moderate, so the matchup appears competitive rather than one-sided. The overall scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with opportunities at both ends of the pitch.
St. Truidense VV have the stronger lean in the available outcome assessment, while Yellow-Red KV Mechelen remain a credible threat. Both teams are considered likely to score, which points toward an open contest where neither side should be overlooked. The most prominent scoreline possibilities include a draw as well as narrow wins for either team, reinforcing the relatively balanced nature of the fixture.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.