KVC Westerlo — Royal Antwerp FC: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.2% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.8% / 33.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.3% / 73.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.5% / 86.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
KVC Westerlo
8th place · 10 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away St Truiden 2:0
- 12.09.2026 home Standard 4:2
- 05.09.2026 away Mechelen 4:0
- 30.08.2026 home Waregem 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Lommel SK 0:4
Royal Antwerp FC
13th place · 7 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:2
- 13.09.2026 away Club Brugge 1:3
- 05.09.2026 away Standard 0:1
- 30.08.2026 home St Truiden 1:4
- 22.08.2026 home Genk 4:4
This season: KVC Westerlo at home vs Royal Antwerp FC away
| Metric | KVC Westerlo · at home | Royal Antwerp FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| xG against per match | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| Corners per match | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.05.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 2:0 KVC Westerlo
- 25.04.2026 KVC Westerlo 2:4 Royal Antwerp FC
- 15.02.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 0:2 KVC Westerlo
- 30.08.2025 KVC Westerlo 2:0 Royal Antwerp FC
- 19.01.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 3:2 KVC Westerlo
- 21.09.2024 KVC Westerlo 1:2 Royal Antwerp FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
First Division A fixture on October 11, with the available assessment suggesting a slight advantage for the home side. Confidence in this outlook is moderate, so the match should be viewed as a competitive contest rather than one in which either team holds a decisive advantage. KVC Westerlo have a narrow edge in the overall evaluation, but Royal Antwerp FC remain credible contenders for a positive result.
The scoring outlook points towards an open game, with both teams likely to find the net. A balanced draw is one plausible scenario, while a narrow victory for either side also fits the assessment. KVC Westerlo may have the advantage of playing at home, but the expected competitiveness of the fixture leaves room for Royal Antwerp FC to exploit their opportunities. The main theme is the potential for chances at both ends, making defensive organisation and the ability to convert scoring opportunities important factors. Overall, KVC Westerlo have a slight edge, but the moderate confidence level and high-scoring outlook suggest a match that could remain finely balanced until the closing stages.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.