SV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.9% |
| 12 | 70.6% | |
| X2 | 66.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.4% / 9.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.6% / 28.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.7% / 55.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.4% / 89.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
SV Zulte Waregem
6th place · 11 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:3
- 13.09.2026 home Charleroi 0:1
- 06.09.2026 away Kortrijk 2:0
- 30.08.2026 away Westerlo 2:2
- 22.08.2026 home Beveren 4:0
KAA Gent
2nd place · 19 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 home Standard 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away Genk 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:0
- 03.09.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:0
- 30.08.2026 home Club Brugge 2:1
This season: SV Zulte Waregem at home vs KAA Gent away
| Metric | SV Zulte Waregem · at home | KAA Gent · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–1 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| xG for per match | 1.38 | 1.10 |
| xG against per match | 0.99 | 0.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.03.2026 KAA Gent 2:0 SV Zulte Waregem
- 19.10.2025 SV Zulte Waregem 4:1 KAA Gent
- 12.03.2023 SV Zulte Waregem 2:6 KAA Gent
- 11.09.2022 KAA Gent 2:0 SV Zulte Waregem
- 06.03.2022 KAA Gent 2:1 SV Zulte Waregem
- 20.11.2021 SV Zulte Waregem 1:2 KAA Gent
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SV Zulte Waregem host KAA Gent at a point in the season where recent form clearly separates the two sides. The visitors arrive from Ghent sitting second in the First Division A table with nineteen points from seven matches, unbeaten in their last five across all competitions with four wins and a draw. SV Zulte Waregem are a respectable sixth on eleven points and have been solid at their own ground, taking two wins from three home outings, but their broader five-match sample is less convincing with two defeats mixed in.
The historical pattern reinforces the picture. In the last six meetings between these clubs, KAA Gent have won five to SV Zulte Waregem's one, with no draws recorded, and the most recent encounter finished 2-0 in Gent's favour. On the road this season KAA Gent have also been efficient, scoring six and conceding only two in three away fixtures, while creating clearly more chances than they allow.
Even so, the hosts' home record and medium-scoring profile of the fixture suggest the teams are not far apart on the day. A slight edge belongs to KAA Gent given their league position and head-to-head dominance, though the margin feels moderate rather than decisive, and a tight, cagey contest remains plausible.
What matters before kick-off
Zulte Waregem's recent league result
In their most recent Belgian Pro League match on September 19, 2026, SV Zulte Waregem suffered a 3-0 away loss against RSC Anderlecht.
KAA Gent's recent league result
KAA Gent entered the international break at the top of the table after securing a 2-1 home victory against Standard Liège on September 18, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.