Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

Cercle Brugge host RSC Anderlecht in the First Division A sitting 16th of 18 after seven matches, with just 3 points on the board. Their recent form reads one draw and four defeats across the last five outings, and the home record is similarly thin: three matches played, no wins, three goals scored and seven conceded. The underlying picture at home is less bleak than the results suggest, with chances created and allowed roughly level, but the points column tells the clearer story.

RSC Anderlecht arrive in fifth place on 13 points, with three wins, a draw and one loss in their last five. Their away form has been less convincing — one win from three on the road, with only a single goal scored and four conceded — yet the broader trajectory still points to a visiting side in better shape. The head-to-head record favours them too: four wins from the last six meetings against Cercle Brugge.

Taken together, the league table and recent form give a slight edge to the visitors, and that lean looks reasonably firm. The last meeting ended RSC Anderlecht 2-3 Cercle Brugge, a reminder that goals at both ends remain plausible even when one side is clearly the stronger traveller.