Match intelligence

Royal Antwerp FC — KRC Genk: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Royal Antwerp FC4
:
4KRC Genk
Locked signal X2 Probability 70.7% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 29.3% Home win Royal Antwerp FC
X 24.9% Draw
W2 45.9% Away win KRC Genk
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1275.1%
Both teams to score
Yes60.3%
Totals 2.5
Over57.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X54.1%
1275.1%
X270.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No60.3% / 39.7%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.5% / 5.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 80.8% / 19.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 57.9% / 42.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 35.5% / 64.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 18.6% / 81.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 8.5% / 91.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Royal Antwerp FC × KRC Genk
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 5.5%
0:1 7.8%
0:2 7.1%
0:3 4.0%
0:4 1.7%
0:5 0.6%
1
1:0 5.9%
1:1 11.5%
1:2 9.3%
1:3 5.3%
1:4 2.2%
1:5 0.8%
2
2:0 4.3%
2:1 7.2%
2:2 6.1%
2:3 3.5%
2:4 1.5%
2:5 0.5%
3
3:0 1.9%
3:1 3.2%
3:2 2.7%
3:3 1.5%
3:4 0.6%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.6%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.5%
1:29.3%
0:17.8%
2:17.2%
0:27.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026

Royal Antwerp FC

2nd place · 6 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:0
  • 09.08.2026 home Beveren 2:1
  • 23.05.2026 home Westerlo 2:0
  • 19.05.2026 away Genk 0:0
  • 15.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:3

KRC Genk

8th place · 3 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.08.2026 home Westerlo 3:2
  • 09.08.2026 away Waregem 1:2
  • 23.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:0
  • 19.05.2026 home Antwerp 0:0
  • 16.05.2026 away Standard 0:0

This season: Royal Antwerp FC at home vs KRC Genk away

Metric Royal Antwerp FC · at home KRC Genk · away
Matches11
W–D–L1–0–00–0–1
Goals scored per match2.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.002.00
xG for per match2.210.55
xG against per match0.960.51
Shots on target per match7.003.00
Corners per match5.003.00
Over 2.5 goals100%100%
Both teams scored100%100%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Royal Antwerp FC wins2
Draws3
KRC Genk wins1
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 19.05.2026 KRC Genk 0:0 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 03.04.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 1:2 KRC Genk
  • 07.12.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 3:0 KRC Genk
  • 03.08.2025 KRC Genk 1:1 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 27.04.2025 KRC Genk 0:1 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 1:1 KRC Genk

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Royal Antwerp FC face KRC Genk in a First Division A contest that appears finely balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The available assessment points towards a competitive match rather than a one-sided encounter, with the draw also a credible possibility. KRC Genk’s advantage is therefore limited, and the overall outlook suggests that Royal Antwerp FC should remain involved throughout the game.

The match is expected to produce a moderate amount of attacking activity, with both teams likely to score. That points to an open but measured contest, where neither side is expected to dominate consistently. A draw is among the plausible outcomes, while a narrow KRC Genk victory also fits the evaluation. Royal Antwerp FC will have opportunities to respond, but KRC Genk appear marginally better placed to avoid defeat.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Belgian Pro League matchday 3 fixture

Royal Antwerp host KRC Genk at the Bosuilstadion on August 22, 2026, in round 3 of the Belgian Pro League.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗

Other matches

→ First Division A

OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel

How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

ONE PERSON. AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT.

One person behind the project. Your support makes a difference.

The project currently runs at a loss. A voluntary contribution helps with hosting, data and AI services.

Support the project
18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling

Finding oddmind.app useful?

One person keeps this project running, and it currently brings more expenses than income. If you would like to help, a small voluntary contribution makes a difference.

Support the project
Completely optional. You can keep using the site without donating.