Standard Liege — RAAL La Louviere: Win probabilities, 21.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.2% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 21.08.2026
Standard Liege
10th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Mechelen 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 2:2
- 23.05.2026 home Charleroi 0:2
- 19.05.2026 away Westerlo 2:1
- 16.05.2026 home Genk 0:0
RAAL La Louviere
15th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Gent 1:2
- 09.08.2026 away Anderlecht 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Cercle Brugge 4:1
- 26.04.2026 away Waregem 0:4
- 19.04.2026 home Waregem 0:2
This season: Standard Liege at home vs RAAL La Louviere away
| Metric | Standard Liege · at home | RAAL La Louviere · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.59 | 0.74 |
| xG against per match | 1.47 | 3.05 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 27.02.2026 Standard Liege 1:1 RAAL La Louviere
- 26.07.2025 RAAL La Louviere 0:2 Standard Liege
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Standard Liege host RAAL La Louviere in a First Division A meeting that points towards a competitive but moderately open contest. The available assessment gives Standard Liege a slight edge, with a high level of confidence in the overall direction. That advantage should be understood as narrow rather than decisive, as the match profile still leaves room for a balanced outcome.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net is finely balanced. This suggests a game in which neither side is expected to dominate consistently, with periods of pressure likely to be shared. Standard Liege appear better positioned to avoid defeat, but RAAL La Louviere remain capable of making the match difficult and contributing to an even scoreline. The most suitable reading is therefore a home-side lean with draw protection, rather than a firm prediction of victory.
What matters before kick-off
Recent league results
Standard Liege started the new league season with back-to-back draws against Cercle Brugge (2-2) and Mechelen (3-3). RAAL La Louviere opened their campaign with consecutive defeats against Anderlecht and Gent (1-2).
Head-to-head record
The previous encounter between the two teams at Stade Maurice Dufrasne in February 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.