Match intelligence

SV Zulte Waregem — SK Beveren: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SV Zulte Waregem4
:
0SK Beveren
Locked signal 1X Probability 72.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 48.1% Home win SV Zulte Waregem
X 24.5% Draw
W2 27.4% Away win SK Beveren
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1275.5%
Both teams to score
Yes53.5%
Totals 2.5
Over50.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X72.6%
1275.5%
X251.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.5% / 46.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.6% / 6.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.0% / 25.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.8% / 49.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.8% / 71.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.8% / 86.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.7% / 94.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SV Zulte Waregem × SK Beveren
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.4%
0:1 7.8%
0:2 4.2%
0:3 1.6%
0:4 0.5%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 10.8%
1:1 11.6%
1:2 6.7%
1:3 2.5%
1:4 0.7%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 8.3%
2:1 9.4%
2:2 5.3%
2:3 2.0%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 4.4%
3:1 4.9%
3:2 2.8%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.7%
4:1 2.0%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.5%
5:1 0.6%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.6%
1:010.8%
2:19.4%
2:08.3%
0:17.8%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SV Zulte Waregem enter this First Division A meeting with a slight edge over SK Beveren. The assessment gives the hosts a relatively high-confidence advantage, although the margin between the teams is not expected to be wide. That points toward a match in which SV Zulte Waregem may have the stronger overall position, but SK Beveren should remain capable of contesting the result throughout.

The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a game with a measured attacking rhythm rather than an extreme goal-fest. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the match could develop through either a controlled home performance or a more open exchange. The main analytical signal supports SV Zulte Waregem avoiding defeat, while SK Beveren retain a credible opportunity to make the contest close. Overall, the hosts have the clearer advantage, but the balance of the fixture leaves room for a draw as well as a narrow home victory.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Match fact

Head-to-head record

In their head-to-head history, SV Zulte Waregem has recorded 17 wins compared to 7 for SK Beveren, with 7 matches ending in a draw.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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