KRC Genk — SK Beveren: Win probabilities, 28.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.5% |
| 12 | 77.6% | |
| X2 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.2% / 35.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 28.08.2026
KRC Genk
9th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:4
- 15.08.2026 home Westerlo 3:2
- 09.08.2026 away Waregem 1:2
- 23.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:0
- 19.05.2026 home Antwerp 0:0
SK Beveren
11th place · 3 pts after 3Last 3 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Waregem 0:4
- 16.08.2026 home Anderlecht 1:0
- 09.08.2026 away Antwerp 1:2
This season: KRC Genk at home vs SK Beveren away
| Metric | KRC Genk · at home | SK Beveren · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 4.23 | 0.87 |
| xG against per match | 0.85 | 2.42 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KRC Genk come into this First Division A meeting with a clear overall advantage over SK Beveren, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the hosts’ superiority should not be treated as decisive. The available assessment points towards a match in which KRC Genk are more likely to control the outcome, while SK Beveren retain enough attacking potential to make the contest competitive.
The expected profile is high-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination makes a narrow home victory a plausible reading of the match, particularly with 2-1 among the most likely scorelines. At the same time, 1-1 is also a prominent possibility, reflecting the uncertainty created by SK Beveren’s scoring prospects, while 2-0 represents a more controlled KRC Genk performance. Overall, the balance favours KRC Genk, but the visitors’ capacity to contribute offensively means the hosts may need to manage an open and demanding game.
What matters before kick-off
Previous Matchday Results
In round 3 of the Belgian Pro League, KRC Genk blew a three-goal lead in the final ten minutes to draw 4-4 against Antwerp. Meanwhile, SK Beveren suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Zulte Waregem in their previous league fixture.
Pre-season Match Between the Sides
During the summer 2026 pre-season preparations, KRC Genk defeated SK Beveren 2-1 in a friendly match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.