Match intelligence

RAAL La Louviere — Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
RAAL La Louviere2
:
2Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Locked signal 1X Probability 68.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 40.3% Home win RAAL La Louviere
X 28.1% Draw
W2 31.6% Away win Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1271.9%
Both teams to score
Yes52.6%
Totals 2.5
Under53.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X68.4%
1271.9%
X259.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No52.6% / 47.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.4% / 8.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 73.2% / 26.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 47.0% / 53.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 25.4% / 74.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.6% / 88.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.6% / 95.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RAAL La Louviere × Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.6%
0:1 8.4%
0:2 5.5%
0:3 2.2%
0:4 0.6%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 9.8%
1:1 13.4%
1:2 7.5%
1:3 3.0%
1:4 0.9%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 7.3%
2:1 8.6%
2:2 5.1%
2:3 2.0%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 3.3%
3:1 3.9%
3:2 2.3%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.1%
4:1 1.4%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.4%
1:09.8%
2:18.6%
0:08.6%
0:18.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026

RAAL La Louviere

15th place · 0 pts after 3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 21.08.2026 away Standard 0:2
  • 16.08.2026 home Gent 1:2
  • 09.08.2026 away Anderlecht 1:2
  • 09.05.2026 home Cercle Brugge 4:1
  • 26.04.2026 away Waregem 0:4

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen

14th place · 1 pts after 3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 22.08.2026 away Charleroi 0:2
  • 16.08.2026 home Standard 3:3
  • 09.08.2026 away Gent 0:2
  • 24.05.2026 away St Truiden 0:3
  • 21.05.2026 home Club Brugge 2:2

This season: RAAL La Louviere at home vs Yellow-Red KV Mechelen away

Metric RAAL La Louviere · at home Yellow-Red KV Mechelen · away
Matches12
W–D–L0–0–10–0–2
Goals scored per match1.000.00
Goals conceded per match2.002.00
xG for per match0.540.29
xG against per match1.181.30
Shots on target per match5.001.00
Corners per match6.001.50
Over 2.5 goals100%0%
Both teams scored100%0%

Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings

RAAL La Louviere wins0
Draws0
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen wins2
Goals per match3.50
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
  • 22.02.2026 RAAL La Louviere 0:2 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
  • 30.08.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 3:2 RAAL La Louviere

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

RAAL La Louviere and Yellow-Red KV Mechelen appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be shaped by small differences in defensive organisation, midfield control and the ability to make the most of limited opportunities.

The match is expected to be medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains balanced. A draw is therefore a credible outcome, although the home side has a slight edge in the broader market signal. RAAL La Louviere may benefit from playing on home soil, but Yellow-Red KV Mechelen have enough balance in the assessment to keep the game competitive. The most plausible scenarios point towards a narrow margin either way or a level finish, rather than a match dominated by one team.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

RAAL La Louviere's recent result

In their previous Belgian Pro League fixture on August 21, 2026, RAAL La Louviere suffered a 2-0 defeat against Standard Liege.

Schedule

KV Mechelen's recent result

In their previous Belgian Pro League match on August 22, 2026, KV Mechelen fell to a 2-0 away loss against Sporting Charleroi.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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