Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liege: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.0% |
| 12 | 71.8% | |
| X2 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.0% / 19.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.0% / 66.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.5% / 82.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Standard Liege look evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear overall advantage, while the moderate confidence points to a contest where small details could shape the outcome. Neither side stands out strongly enough to make this a one-sided fixture, so the balance between caution and attacking intent may be important.
The match is expected to produce a medium level of scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That profile supports an open but competitive game rather than a tightly contained stalemate. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:2, reflecting the narrow gap between Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Standard Liege. A draw is a credible outcome, although the home side has a slight protective edge in the broader result assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Form
In their previous Pro League match, Standard Liège secured a 2-0 home victory over La Louvière, whereas OH Leuven suffered a 3-0 home defeat against Club Brugge.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.