Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liege: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.0% |
| 12 | 71.8% | |
| X2 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.0% / 19.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.0% / 66.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.5% / 82.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
16th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Club Brugge 0:3
- 09.08.2026 away Charleroi 1:3
- 23.05.2026 home Genk 0:2
- 19.05.2026 away Charleroi 1:1
- 15.05.2026 home Antwerp 3:0
Standard Liege
7th place · 5 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Mechelen 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 2:2
- 23.05.2026 home Charleroi 0:2
- 19.05.2026 away Westerlo 2:1
This season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home vs Standard Liege away
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · at home | Standard Liege · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.73 | 1.65 |
| xG against per match | 2.93 | 2.75 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.05.2026 Standard Liege 2:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 04.04.2026 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:3 Standard Liege
- 12.12.2025 Standard Liege 0:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 31.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:0 Standard Liege
- 26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 Standard Liege
- 22.04.2025 Standard Liege 0:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Standard Liege look evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear overall advantage, while the moderate confidence points to a contest where small details could shape the outcome. Neither side stands out strongly enough to make this a one-sided fixture, so the balance between caution and attacking intent may be important.
The match is expected to produce a medium level of scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That profile supports an open but competitive game rather than a tightly contained stalemate. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:2, reflecting the narrow gap between Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Standard Liege. A draw is a credible outcome, although the home side has a slight protective edge in the broader result assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Form
In their previous Pro League match, Standard Liège secured a 2-0 home victory over La Louvière, whereas OH Leuven suffered a 3-0 home defeat against Club Brugge.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.