Union Saint-Gilloise — RSC Anderlecht: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.7% |
| 12 | 75.3% | |
| X2 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.6% / 20.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Union Saint-Gilloise
9th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Waregem 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away Westerlo 5:1
- 24.05.2026 home Anderlecht 5:1
- 21.05.2026 away Gent 0:0
- 17.05.2026 away Club Brugge 0:5
RSC Anderlecht
10th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Beveren 0:1
- 09.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:1
- 24.05.2026 away St. Gilloise 1:5
- 21.05.2026 home St Truiden 3:1
- 17.05.2026 home Mechelen 2:2
This season: Union Saint-Gilloise at home vs RSC Anderlecht away
| Metric | Union Saint-Gilloise · at home | RSC Anderlecht · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.89 | 1.27 |
| xG against per match | 0.97 | 0.64 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.05.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise 5:1 RSC Anderlecht
- 26.04.2026 RSC Anderlecht 1:3 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 30.11.2025 RSC Anderlecht 1:0 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 31.08.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise 2:0 RSC Anderlecht
- 10.05.2025 RSC Anderlecht 0:1 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 12.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise 2:0 RSC Anderlecht
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Union Saint-Gilloise have a slight edge over RSC Anderlecht in this First Division A meeting, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear gap between the sides. The available assessment leans toward the hosts, but it does not suggest that the game will be decided comfortably or early.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring, with both teams scoring remaining difficult to call. A 1:1 draw is among the likely scorelines, while 2:1 and 2:0 also fit the outlook in favour of Union Saint-Gilloise. RSC Anderlecht should therefore remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the contest balanced and limit the hosts' opportunities. Overall, the match appears finely poised, with a narrow home advantage rather than a decisive prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Anderlecht coming off Europa League qualifying win
Anderlecht play Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgian Pro League just three days after hosting Kairat Almaty and securing a 3-0 victory in their UEFA Europa League qualifier.
Recent cup final triumph
Union SG defeated Anderlecht 3-1 in the 2026 Belgian Cup final held at the King Baudouin Stadium in May 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.