KAA Gent — Club Brugge: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.4% |
| 12 | 77.6% | |
| X2 | 82.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.2% / 61.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.7% / 79.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
KAA Gent
8th place · 6 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:1
- 09.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:0
- 24.05.2026 away Club Brugge 0:5
- 21.05.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:0
- 16.05.2026 away St Truiden 1:1
Club Brugge
2nd place · 9 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
- 07.08.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
- 24.05.2026 home Gent 5:0
- 21.05.2026 away Mechelen 2:2
This season: KAA Gent at home vs Club Brugge away
| Metric | KAA Gent · at home | Club Brugge · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.16 | 2.93 |
| xG against per match | 0.34 | 0.73 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.05.2026 Club Brugge 5:0 KAA Gent
- 26.04.2026 KAA Gent 0:2 Club Brugge
- 21.12.2025 Club Brugge 2:1 KAA Gent
- 31.08.2025 KAA Gent 1:1 Club Brugge
- 01.05.2025 Club Brugge 4:1 KAA Gent
- 20.04.2025 KAA Gent 0:5 Club Brugge
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KAA Gent and Club Brugge meet in the First Division A with the visitors holding a slight edge in what appears to be a competitive fixture. The assessment points towards a close contest rather than a one-sided game, with Club Brugge marginally better placed to take control of key moments. KAA Gent should still have a meaningful attacking role, particularly if they can apply pressure early and avoid allowing Club Brugge to dictate the tempo.
The match is expected to have an open scoring pattern, and both teams are likely to find the net. That points to a game shaped by attacking intent, transitions and the ability to manage defensive spaces rather than a cautious encounter. Club Brugge have the stronger overall signal, but the moderate confidence level leaves room for KAA Gent to challenge the expected balance. A narrow away win is one possible outcome, although a draw also fits the projected character of the match.
What matters before kick-off
Gent's Conference League fixture
Three days before facing Club Brugge, KAA Gent played an away UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier against Scottish side Hibernian, securing a 3-2 victory.
Club Brugge's recent result
Club Brugge entered the match following a 1-0 victory over Cercle Brugge in their previous Belgian Pro League fixture.
Battle of Flanders rivalry
Matches between KAA Gent and Club Brugge are traditionally known in Belgian football as the Slag om Vlaanderen (Battle of Flanders).
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.