Royal Antwerp FC — St. Truidense VV: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.5% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.5% / 18.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.0% / 81.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Royal Antwerp FC
6th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Genk 4:4
- 15.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:0
- 09.08.2026 home Beveren 2:1
- 23.05.2026 home Westerlo 2:0
- 19.05.2026 away Genk 0:0
St. Truidense VV
12th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.08.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Lommel SK 1:1
- 24.05.2026 home Mechelen 3:0
- 21.05.2026 away Anderlecht 1:3
- 16.05.2026 home Gent 1:1
This season: Royal Antwerp FC at home vs St. Truidense VV away
| Metric | Royal Antwerp FC · at home | St. Truidense VV · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.04 | 2.05 |
| xG against per match | 1.13 | 4.15 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.50 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.02.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 1:0 St. Truidense VV
- 02.11.2025 St. Truidense VV 1:0 Royal Antwerp FC
- 24.01.2025 St. Truidense VV 1:1 Royal Antwerp FC
- 11.08.2024 Royal Antwerp FC 6:1 St. Truidense VV
- 03.03.2024 Royal Antwerp FC 3:0 St. Truidense VV
- 24.11.2023 St. Truidense VV 1:1 Royal Antwerp FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Royal Antwerp FC and St. Truidense VV appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The assessment carries moderate confidence, so the balance between the sides should be treated as a broad expectation rather than a definitive forecast. The available signal gives Royal Antwerp FC a slight protective edge through the possibility of a home win or draw.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, with both teams likely to find the net. That points towards an open contest in which neither side is expected to dominate consistently. A draw is a credible outcome, while a narrow victory for either Royal Antwerp FC or St. Truidense VV also fits the overall assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Result and European Schedule
Royal Antwerp came back from 1-4 down to draw 4-4 against KRC Genk in their last Pro League fixture thanks to two late goals from Michael Frey. Meanwhile, Sint-Truiden were in action on Thursday, losing 4-2 away to Omonia Nicosia in Europa League qualifying.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.