Royal Antwerp FC — St. Truidense VV: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.5% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.5% / 18.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.0% / 81.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Royal Antwerp FC and St. Truidense VV appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The assessment carries moderate confidence, so the balance between the sides should be treated as a broad expectation rather than a definitive forecast. The available signal gives Royal Antwerp FC a slight protective edge through the possibility of a home win or draw.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, with both teams likely to find the net. That points towards an open contest in which neither side is expected to dominate consistently. A draw is a credible outcome, while a narrow victory for either Royal Antwerp FC or St. Truidense VV also fits the overall assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Result and European Schedule
Royal Antwerp came back from 1-4 down to draw 4-4 against KRC Genk in their last Pro League fixture thanks to two late goals from Michael Frey. Meanwhile, Sint-Truiden were in action on Thursday, losing 4-2 away to Omonia Nicosia in Europa League qualifying.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.