Cercle Brugge — Lommel SK: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.8% |
| 12 | 79.9% | |
| X2 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.9% / 15.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.7% / 57.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Cercle Brugge hold a clear but not overwhelming edge over Lommel SK in this First Division A meeting. The available assessment points towards the hosts being the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should not be overstated. Lommel SK remain competitive enough to pose a threat, particularly in a match expected to offer opportunities at both ends.
The scoring outlook is relatively open, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the game less suited to a cautious, low-event interpretation and places greater importance on how well each defence manages transitions and pressure. The main outcome signal favours Cercle Brugge, while the projected scorelines also leave room for a draw, including a 2-1 or 1-1 type of contest. Overall, Cercle Brugge have the stronger starting position, but Lommel SK should have realistic chances of keeping the match close.
What matters before kick-off
Cercle Brugge recent result
In their Belgian Pro League match on August 23, 2026, Cercle Brugge lost 0-1 to local rivals Club Brugge.
Cercle Brugge home ground
Cercle Brugge play their home matches at the Jan Breydel Stadium in Bruges.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.