Cercle Brugge — Lommel SK: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.8% |
| 12 | 79.9% | |
| X2 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.9% / 15.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.7% / 57.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Cercle Brugge
13th place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:1
- 14.08.2026 home St Truiden 3:3
- 08.08.2026 away Standard 2:2
- 09.05.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 1:4
- 01.05.2026 home Waregem 2:3
Lommel SK
9th place · 4 pts after 3Last 3 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Westerlo 4:0
- 16.08.2026 home Charleroi 0:1
- 08.08.2026 away St Truiden 1:1
This season: Cercle Brugge at home vs Lommel SK away
| Metric | Cercle Brugge · at home | Lommel SK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 4.15 | 1.50 |
| xG against per match | 2.05 | 1.99 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Cercle Brugge hold a clear but not overwhelming edge over Lommel SK in this First Division A meeting. The available assessment points towards the hosts being the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should not be overstated. Lommel SK remain competitive enough to pose a threat, particularly in a match expected to offer opportunities at both ends.
The scoring outlook is relatively open, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the game less suited to a cautious, low-event interpretation and places greater importance on how well each defence manages transitions and pressure. The main outcome signal favours Cercle Brugge, while the projected scorelines also leave room for a draw, including a 2-1 or 1-1 type of contest. Overall, Cercle Brugge have the stronger starting position, but Lommel SK should have realistic chances of keeping the match close.
What matters before kick-off
Cercle Brugge recent result
In their Belgian Pro League match on August 23, 2026, Cercle Brugge lost 0-1 to local rivals Club Brugge.
Cercle Brugge home ground
Cercle Brugge play their home matches at the Jan Breydel Stadium in Bruges.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.