KV Kortrijk — Royal Charleroi SC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.1% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 76.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.8% / 20.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
KV Kortrijk
17th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Antwerp 0:3
- 07.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3
- 10.05.2025 home St Truiden 2:2
- 03.05.2025 away Cercle Brugge 2:0
- 25.04.2025 away Beerschot VA 0:2
Royal Charleroi SC
2nd place · 9 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:1
- 23.05.2026 away Standard 2:0
- 19.05.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
This season: KV Kortrijk at home vs Royal Charleroi SC away
| Metric | KV Kortrijk · at home | Royal Charleroi SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.77 | 1.25 |
| xG against per match | 1.19 | 0.34 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.12.2024 KV Kortrijk 0:1 Royal Charleroi SC
- 25.08.2024 Royal Charleroi SC 1:0 KV Kortrijk
- 11.05.2024 Royal Charleroi SC 3:1 KV Kortrijk
- 14.04.2024 KV Kortrijk 1:2 Royal Charleroi SC
- 03.02.2024 KV Kortrijk 1:0 Royal Charleroi SC
- 23.09.2023 Royal Charleroi SC 1:0 KV Kortrijk
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KV Kortrijk host Royal Charleroi SC in a First Division A fixture that points towards a competitive match with a slight edge for the visitors. The available indicators favour Royal Charleroi SC, while the X2 signal suggests that the away side avoiding defeat is the stronger overall angle. That preference is meaningful, although the outlook still leaves room for a balanced contest rather than a one-sided game.
The scoring profile is medium-scoring, with the most plausible scorelines centred around a draw or a Royal Charleroi SC victory. Both teams scoring is assessed as a coin flip, so there is no clear basis for expecting either side to find the net with certainty. KV Kortrijk may remain involved throughout, particularly if the match develops into an even exchange, but Royal Charleroi SC hold the clearer analytical advantage. The main expectation is therefore a controlled, competitive encounter in which the visitors have the better chance of taking points.
What matters before kick-off
Belgian Pro League match at Guldensporenstadion
KV Kortrijk host Sporting Charleroi on 29 August 2026 as part of the 2026/2027 Belgian Pro League regular season.
Special travel arrangements for Charleroi fans
Royal Charleroi SC organized specific combi-bus travel details for their supporters attending the away match against KV Kortrijk.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.