KV Kortrijk — Royal Charleroi SC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.1% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 76.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.8% / 20.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KV Kortrijk host Royal Charleroi SC in a First Division A fixture that points towards a competitive match with a slight edge for the visitors. The available indicators favour Royal Charleroi SC, while the X2 signal suggests that the away side avoiding defeat is the stronger overall angle. That preference is meaningful, although the outlook still leaves room for a balanced contest rather than a one-sided game.
The scoring profile is medium-scoring, with the most plausible scorelines centred around a draw or a Royal Charleroi SC victory. Both teams scoring is assessed as a coin flip, so there is no clear basis for expecting either side to find the net with certainty. KV Kortrijk may remain involved throughout, particularly if the match develops into an even exchange, but Royal Charleroi SC hold the clearer analytical advantage. The main expectation is therefore a controlled, competitive encounter in which the visitors have the better chance of taking points.
What matters before kick-off
Belgian Pro League match at Guldensporenstadion
KV Kortrijk host Sporting Charleroi on 29 August 2026 as part of the 2026/2027 Belgian Pro League regular season.
Special travel arrangements for Charleroi fans
Royal Charleroi SC organized specific combi-bus travel details for their supporters attending the away match against KV Kortrijk.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.