KVC Westerlo — SV Zulte Waregem: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.4% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 68.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.5% / 33.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.6% / 14.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.6% / 57.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
KVC Westerlo
18th place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Lommel SK 0:4
- 15.08.2026 away Genk 2:3
- 08.08.2026 home St. Gilloise 1:5
- 23.05.2026 away Antwerp 0:2
- 19.05.2026 home Standard 1:2
SV Zulte Waregem
4th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Beveren 4:0
- 15.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Genk 2:1
- 09.05.2026 home Dender 2:1
- 01.05.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:2
This season: KVC Westerlo at home vs SV Zulte Waregem away
| Metric | KVC Westerlo · at home | SV Zulte Waregem · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.76 | 0.97 |
| xG against per match | 1.79 | 0.89 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 31.01.2026 SV Zulte Waregem 0:1 KVC Westerlo
- 02.08.2025 KVC Westerlo 3:1 SV Zulte Waregem
- 21.01.2023 SV Zulte Waregem 1:1 KVC Westerlo
- 01.10.2022 KVC Westerlo 2:0 SV Zulte Waregem
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KVC Westerlo host SV Zulte Waregem in a First Division A meeting that appears finely balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The moderate confidence suggests there is no decisive separation between the sides, making the result difficult to frame as anything more than a cautious lean toward SV Zulte Waregem. A draw remains a credible outcome alongside a narrow away win.
The attacking outlook points toward a high-scoring contest, with both teams likely to score. That gives KVC Westerlo a clear route into the game even if SV Zulte Waregem are assessed as the stronger side on this occasion. The most plausible scorelines indicate a close match, with a level result or a one-goal margin either way fitting the available signals. Overall, the X2 indication favours SV Zulte Waregem avoiding defeat, but the likely openness of the game leaves room for KVC Westerlo to make the contest competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability news
KVC Westerlo midfielder Dogucan Haspolat remains sidelined with an injury. SV Zulte Waregem will be without goalkeeper Brent Gabriel and right-back Wilguens Paugain due to injury.
Form and recent results
SV Zulte Waregem started the Belgian Pro League season strongly, collecting seven points from their first three matches. KVC Westerlo enter the game looking to bounce back after a 4-0 loss to SK Lommel.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.