CA Osasuna — Racing Santander: Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
49.3%
Home win
CA Osasuna
X
25.7%
Draw
W2
25.0%
Away win
Racing Santander
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X75.0%
Both teams to score
Yes62.4%
Totals 2.5
Over60.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.0% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.4% / 37.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.3% / 61.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.8% / 79.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Goal distribution model
CA Osasuna × Racing Santander
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.9%
0:1
4.1%
0:2
3.6%
0:3
1.5%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
6.6%
1:1
11.8%
1:2
6.6%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.5%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
6.1%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.6%
3:1
5.9%
3:2
3.8%
3:3
1.6%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.1%
4:1
2.7%
4:2
1.8%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
1.0%
5:2
0.7%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.8%
2:19.6%
2:07.5%
1:26.6%
1:06.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
CA Osasuna
9th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Vallecano 1:1
- 16.09.2026 away Ath Madrid 0:4
- 12.09.2026 home Espanol 0:2
- 06.09.2026 away Alaves 2:5
- 31.08.2026 home Getafe 1:0
Racing Santander
16th place · 7 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Celta 0:5
- 16.09.2026 away Barcelona 2:7
- 12.09.2026 home Alaves 2:1
- 05.09.2026 away Vallecano 2:3
- 28.08.2026 home Elche 3:2
This season: CA Osasuna at home vs Racing Santander away
| Metric | CA Osasuna · at home | Racing Santander · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–2–1 | 0–0–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 4.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.98 | 1.09 |
| xG against per match | 1.10 | 2.92 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.25 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.