Real Betis Seville — FC Barcelona: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
14.8%
Home win
Real Betis Seville
X
15.4%
Draw
W2
69.8%
Away win
FC Barcelona
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X285.2%
Both teams to score
Yes67.0%
Totals 2.5
Over77.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 30.2% |
| 12 | 84.6% | |
| X2 | 85.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.4% / 1.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.1% / 8.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 77.0% / 23.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 38.2% / 61.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 22.4% / 77.6% |
Goal distribution model
Real Betis Seville × FC Barcelona
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.6%
0:1
5.0%
0:2
6.8%
0:3
6.3%
0:4
4.4%
0:5
2.5%
1
1:0
2.3%
1:1
5.9%
1:2
8.5%
1:3
8.0%
1:4
5.6%
1:5
3.1%
2
2:0
1.4%
2:1
3.8%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
5.0%
2:4
3.5%
2:5
2.0%
3
3:0
0.6%
3:1
1.6%
3:2
2.2%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
1.5%
3:5
0.8%
4
4:0
0.2%
4:1
0.5%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.5%
4:5
0.3%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:28.5%
1:38.0%
0:26.8%
0:36.3%
1:15.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Real Betis Seville
3rd place · 16 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 14.09.2026 away Villarreal 2:1
- 04.09.2026 home Real Madrid 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Levante 2:5
FC Barcelona
1st place · 21 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Sevilla 3:1
- 16.09.2026 home Santander 7:2
- 13.09.2026 away Levante 4:2
- 06.09.2026 away Valencia 5:0
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
This season: Real Betis Seville at home vs FC Barcelona away
| Metric | Real Betis Seville · at home | FC Barcelona · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–0 | 4–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 4.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.23 | 3.58 |
| xG against per match | 1.71 | 1.06 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.67 | 7.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.67 | 3.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Real Betis Seville wins0
Draws2
FC Barcelona wins4
Goals per match4.83
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
- 17.05.2026 FC Barcelona 3:1 Real Betis Seville
- 06.12.2025 Real Betis Seville 3:5 FC Barcelona
- 05.04.2025 FC Barcelona 1:1 Real Betis Seville
- 07.12.2024 Real Betis Seville 2:2 FC Barcelona
- 21.01.2024 Real Betis Seville 2:4 FC Barcelona
- 16.09.2023 FC Barcelona 5:0 Real Betis Seville
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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