RC Deportivo de A Coruna — Levante UD: Win probabilities, 16.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
45.5%
Home win
RC Deportivo de A Coruna
X
27.3%
Draw
W2
27.3%
Away win
Levante UD
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X72.7%
Both teams to score
Yes56.8%
Totals 2.5
Over52.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.7% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.0% / 22.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.6% / 69.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.1% / 84.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Goal distribution model
RC Deportivo de A Coruna × Levante UD
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.4%
0:1
6.1%
0:2
4.4%
0:3
1.7%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.5%
1:1
13.0%
1:2
7.0%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.8%
2:1
9.3%
2:2
5.6%
2:3
2.2%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.2%
3:1
5.0%
3:2
3.0%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.7%
4:1
2.0%
4:2
1.2%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.6%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.0%
2:19.3%
1:08.5%
2:07.8%
0:07.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.10.2026
RC Deportivo de A Coruna
7th place · 10 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Betis 1:1
- 16.09.2026 home Sevilla 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Villarreal 3:2
- 30.08.2026 home Valencia 3:1
Levante UD
17th place · 5 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Villarreal 1:3
- 13.09.2026 home Barcelona 2:4
- 06.09.2026 away Malaga 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Betis 5:2
- 24.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:0
This season: RC Deportivo de A Coruna at home vs Levante UD away
| Metric | RC Deportivo de A Coruna · at home | Levante UD · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–2–1 | 0–2–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| xG against per match | 1.07 | 2.02 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.25 | 1.25 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
RC Deportivo de A Coruna wins0
Draws0
Levante UD wins2
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals2/2
- 25.01.2025 RC Deportivo de A Coruna 1:2 Levante UD
- 24.10.2024 Levante UD 2:1 RC Deportivo de A Coruna
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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